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国际货币基金组织：评估CBDC对金融稳定的影响（英文版）

How could practitioners assess the domestic financial stability implications of retail CBDC? This chapter identifies six key transmission channels through which CBDC can affect financial stability—either negatively or positively. These channels opera...

2025-11-20 19 1.14MB 47页
国际货币基金组织：如何将气温上升的影响纳入长期GDP预测（英文版）

Climate change threatens macroeconomic and financial stability through rising temperatures, shifting precipitation patterns, sea level rise, and more frequent and intense extreme weather, in addition to other factors. To better assess vulnerabilities...

2025-11-20 15 2.41MB 34页
国际货币基金组织：稳定支出规则在促进宏观财政稳定中的作用：来自波兰的模拟证据（英文版）

: The paper investigates the properties of Poland’s Stabilizing Expenditure Rule (SER) in the context of economic governance reform in the EU. The analysis uses a granular macroeconometric model (Chmura et al., 2024) that incorporates heterogeneous f...

2025-11-20 11 1.7MB 38页
国际货币基金组织：选举的重要性：资本流动与政治周期（英文版）

This paper contributes to the relatively limited literature on the impact of political uncertainty on international capital flows to emerging market economies. We incorporate elections as a proxy for political uncertainty into a standard push-pull fr...

2025-11-20 10 1.82MB 47页
国际货币基金组织：央行数字货币对支付竞争的影响（英文版）

How would CBDC affect competition in the payments market? If introduced, CBDC can serve as a payment instrument, expanding end users’ transaction choices, and as a platform infrastructure, broadening intermediaries’ opportunities to provide and innov...

2025-11-20 9 862.83KB 44页
国际货币基金组织：中央银行数字货币的法律考量（英文版）

This Note aims to guide policymakers, including central banks, in assessing their legal frameworks to ensure a sound basis for the issuance of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). It is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, ...

2025-11-20 13 923.34KB 47页
国际货币基金组织：主权债务危机中的贸易动态（英文版）

Sovereign debt restructurings can have large impacts on trade, with a significant compression of imports and a more ambiguous effect on exports. We show that the magnitude of that impact depends on whether restructurings preempt a default or take pla...

2025-11-20 15 2.2MB 33页
国际货币基金组织：最低工资与就业：部门和区域视角（英文版）

Most European countries have a single national minimum wage. An increase in minimum wage implies shocks of different magnitudes to sectors and subnational regions. Using sectoral and regional variations of minimum wage to average wage ratios in Europ...

2025-11-20 10 3.64MB 44页
法国预测与国际信息中心：劳动力市场力量、出口价格和传递（英文版）

Estimating the effects of goods and labor market power on firm pricing behavior is difficult since firm-level output and employment are jointly determined. We exploit the variation in the sets of destination countries across exporting firms, which en...

2025-11-20 10 934KB 50页
联合大学大学世界发展研究所：南非宏观审慎政策的治理（英文版）

South Africa’s experience developing a macroprudential role for its central bank could yield lessons for emerging market central banks. An explicit mandate to maintain and enhance financial stability accompanied a re-defined prudential and conduct re...

2025-11-20 11 1.46MB 81页
非洲经济研究中心：南非消费、房价、抵押贷款和非抵押贷款债务的新模式（英文版）

Aggregate consumption typically exceeds 60 per cent of GDP and should be pivotal in central bank policy models. Most use semi-structural macro-models, yet consumption is usually inadequately specified. We use a systems approach to estimate new equati...

2025-11-20 9 1.53MB 71页
国际清算银行：竞争性数字货币（英文版）

After decades of relative stability in the market structure of retail payments, new contenders are vying to challenge bank deposits as retail money. These contenders include the private tokens of digital platform operators, such as big techs; private...

2025-11-20 9 419.14KB 29页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：儿童服务中的数据治理与分析（英文版）

Governments around the world are undertaking strategies to successfully harness the potential of data and digital technologies while also mitigating key risks (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs 2024; Department for Science, Inn...

2025-11-20 10 271.48KB 14页
国际劳工组织（ILO）：从有机废物到农业食品价值：循环经济发展与appropriate技术及就业创造（英文版）

Africa faces a dual challenge of persistent un and under- and informal employment—especially among youth and women—and environmental degradation exacerbated by poor waste management. Tailored organic waste management can represent a strong solution t...

2025-11-20 10 620.54KB 36页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：加密货币对环境有什么影响？（英文版）

The increasing importance of emerging digital assets has created a multifaceted environmental challenge and opportunity. This paper explores one form of emerging digital asset, cryptocurrency (crypto), and the causal factors that drive its environmen...

2025-11-19 13 421.64KB 24页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：加拿大人工智能框架：全球领导力的蓝图（英文版）

Canada’s position as a global leader in artificial intelligence (AI) is under threat. Despite the country launching a national AI strategy almost 10 years ago, its social and economic impact in the field is lagging compared to its peers. This paper r...

2025-11-19 13 664.17KB 16页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：加拿大向后量子密码学的移民：公私角色（英文版）

Technological advancement drives innovation, but it also comes with risk. Sectors such as finance, health care, defence and telecommunications depend on these developments to stay ahead of the curve. While emerging dual-use technologies such as quant...

2025-11-19 11 762.7KB 64页
纽约联储：绿色转型是通货膨胀吗？（英文版）

We develop a multi-sector New Keynesian model to analyze the inflationary effects of climate policies. Climate policies need not be inflationary, but can generate an inflation-output tradeoff whose size depends on how flexible prices are in the “dirt...

2025-11-19 9 1.86MB 67页
世界银行：撒哈拉以南非洲电力公司财务业绩不佳的原因是什么？（英文版）

This study investigates the factors responsible for the poor performance of 67 electric utilities in 47 countries, using descriptive data from the World Bank, the International Energy Agency, the U.S. Energy Information Administration, and national s...

2025-11-19 27 1.04MB 42页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：在地缘政治紧张局势中的中国人工智能发展与治理（英文版）

This paper examines the complex dynamics of China’s artificial intelligence (AI) development and governance, highlighting the interplay between state-led strategies, private sector innovation, national security imperatives, AI safety concerns and glo...

2025-11-18 12 549.33KB 24页

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