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TASC：绘制黄金圈（英文版）

A number of people contributed to the development and preparation of this report. Our particular thanks go to Peter Connell for his invaluable assistance with the design of the data collection methodology. Christine Koch spent many, many weeks gather...

2025-11-27 16 1.21MB 86页
TASC：养老金更新：让养老金为人们服务（英文版）

In 2008 TASC, in collaboration with the TCD Pension Policy Research Group, issued a policy brief proposing a new model of pensions that would work for everyone1 . A lot has happened since then. Financial markets have collapsed, the banking system is ...

2025-11-27 15 238.89KB 15页
国际货币基金组织：2050年亚洲人口与消费（英文版）

: What are the implications of demographics on total consumption and its sectoral composition in Asia toward 2050? Although the literature has studied total consumption and individual consumption categories separately, the research that studies both...

2025-11-27 17 1.81MB 30页
国际货币基金组织：减少排放，确保能源安全：COP30的宏观经济评估（英文版）

Climate change poses significant macroeconomic challenges due to its impacts and the energy transition needed to address it. Despite the Paris Agreement’s goal to keep global warming ‘well below 2°C’, and ideally to 1.5°C, the world is not on track. ...

2025-11-27 13 1.44MB 49页
国际货币基金组织：泰国的不平等、家庭债务和社会保护的作用（英文版）

: This study examines the nexus between inequality, household debt, and social protection in Thailand, focusing on their interrelation during the COVID-19 shock. Using data from the Thailand Household Socio-Economic Surveys of 2019, 2021, and 2023, w...

2025-11-27 15 1.24MB 41页
国际货币基金组织：温度和降雨波动对粮食价格的影响-乌干达的证据（英文版）

While Uganda has been exposed to an increase in the frequency of extreme weather events— most commonly localised flooding, leeching and mudslides associated with increased intensity of rainfall – changes in the aggregate level patterns of rainfall an...

2025-11-27 14 2.85MB 38页
国际货币基金组织：诊断预期在开放经济中的重要性（英文版）

We develop and estimate a parsimonious New-Keynesian small open-economy model that incorporates Diagnostic Expectations (DE)—a behavioral alternative to Rational Expectations (RE). Under DE, agents systematically overreact to new information, generat...

2025-11-27 15 1.83MB 52页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：知识产权是经济和国家安全（英文版）

Canada’s economic and national security depends on how the country manages its intellectual assets and intellectual property (IP). Looking at the concepts of economic warfare and economic security through an IP lens, this paper examines how attacks a...

2025-11-26 13 639.96KB 36页
欧洲央行：英国脱欧四年后欧盟与英国的贸易和投资探索（英文版）

This paper looks at how Brexit has affected trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) between the United Kingdom and the EU. In 2020 the United Kingdom and the EU signed the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA)1 , establishing the post-Brexit relati...

2025-11-26 14 3.08MB 96页
国际清算银行：大型科技、信贷和数字货币（英文版）

This paper examines how digital payment ledgers operated by BigTech platforms and central banks can expand uncollateralized credit. However, policymakers face a trilemma—no system can simultaneously achieve efficient credit enforcement, limit rent ex...

2025-11-26 11 977.74KB 39页
国际清算银行：什么时候更少更多？银行流动性安排与央行支持（英文版）

Theory suggests that in the face of fire-sale externalities, banks have incentives to overinvest in order to issue cheap money-like deposit liabilities. The existence of a private market for insurance such as contingent capital can eliminate the over...

2025-11-26 14 2.29MB 88页
国际清算银行：数字化和碎片化时代的中央银行（英文版）

The 24th BIS Annual Conference took place in Basel, Switzerland on 27 June 2025. The event brought together a distinguished group of central bank Governors, leading academics and former public officials to exchange views on the theme “Central banking...

2025-11-26 11 379.9KB 28页
国际清算银行：投入价格对企业预期和决策的不对称和异质传递（英文版）

This paper studies the pass-through of input price shocks to firms’ expectations and pricing decisions using firm-level data from the Bank of Italy’s Survey on Inflation and Growth Expectations. We find a strong and asymmetric pass-through: positive ...

2025-11-26 20 687.69KB 57页
国际清算银行：外汇债务与最优汇率套期保值（英文版）

This paper examines optimal foreign currency (FX) hedging by non-financial corporations globally. Using a cross-country, firm-level dataset, we first document key patterns of FX borrowing across advanced (AEs) and emerging market economies (EMEs). We...

2025-11-26 15 827.01KB 32页
斯坦福大学：大象：测量和理解大型语言模型中的社交阿谀奉承（英文版）

LLMs are known to exhibit sycophancy: agreeing with and flattering users, even at the cost of correctness. Prior work measures sycophancy only as direct agreement with users’ explicitly stated beliefs that can be compared to a ground truth. This fail...

2025-11-25 23 812KB 34页
TASC：填补差距：TASC提出的更公平预算的建议（英文版）

TASC is an independent think-tank dedicated to promoting equality, democracy and sustainability through evidence-based policy recommendations. During the ‘Celtic Tiger’ years, TASC was concerned with Ireland’s persistently high levels of economic ine...

2025-11-25 11 1013.95KB 51页
TASC：税收不公：追踪税收之路（英文版）

Public policy is about choices – choices affecting individuals and communities, locally and globally. An equitable, sufficient and sustainable taxation system is one of the hallmarks of good governance. It is important, for both equality and economic...

2025-11-25 12 2.12MB 46页
TASC：欧洲危机：市场竞争力而非社会契约（英文版）

The euro crisis is a crisis of Europe. While the debate is nominated by often arcane economic arguments, it is also a political crisis, a crisis of European solidarity. Are there social bonds which will hold Europe together? That of course raises the...

2025-11-25 13 926.72KB 24页
TASC：欧元危机：原因与解决方案（英文版）

The euro crisis was avoidable. It is a self inflicted crisis and the consequence of systemic policy failures in the way European Monetary Union (EMU) was designed, constructed and implemented. The severity of the crisis has itself been greatly exacer...

2025-11-25 12 661.65KB 20页
TASC：危机中的性别与平等未尽之故事-思考文章（英文版）

Ireland was the first EU country to declare itself officially in recession in August 2008 and the second EU country to have a structural adjustment programme imposed by the IMF/ECB/EU, known as ‘the troika’. The turnaround of the Irish economy has be...

2025-11-25 11 693.08KB 26页

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