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世界银行：非洲贸易和投资促进全球复原力：世界银行2025年非洲增长与机遇-行动研究（AGORA）会议上的马泰讲座（英文版）

This paper, based on the Mattei Lecture that the author delivered at the 2025 Africa Growth and Opportunity–Research in Action Conference, argues that Africa can anchor a new model of growth—and bolster global resilience—by shifting from commodity de...

2026-01-26 0 274.85KB 9页
世界银行：既不太少也不太晚：重组作为结果的反映（英文版）

This paper examines whether project restructuring improves World Bank project performance. Using panel data on Implementation Status and Results ratings, it combines two-way fixed effects with the PanelMatch estimator to address concerns that restruc...

2026-01-26 0 3.76MB 54页
世界银行：评估巴拉圭在欧盟无森林砍伐监管下的脆弱性（英文版）

This paper examines Paraguay’s vulnerability to the European Union’s Regulation on Deforestation-Free Products. Drawing on trade data, customs firm-level data, and high-resolution geospatial analysis, it assesses exposure at the country, firm, and ge...

2026-01-26 0 1.39MB 27页
世界银行：热度、非正规性和分配不当：短期和长期的企业适应（英文版）

How do climate shocks shape resource allocation across firms? Rising temperatures might worsen allocative efficiency if large, productive firms face constraints in adapting. This paper assesses this question in India, an economy characterized by info...

2026-01-26 0 1004.3KB 76页
法国预测与国际信息中心：MIRAGE模型文档版本2.0（英文版）

MIRAGE is a multi-region, multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, initially devoted to trade policy analysis and more recently applied to long-term growth and environmental issues. It incorporates energy, carbon pricing, imperfect co...

2026-01-23 0 1.3MB 64页
美联储：理解新货币类产品漏洞的框架（英文版）

New money-like products, such as tokenized money market funds (MMFs), money market exchange-traded funds (MMETFs), and stablecoins, could be transformative for finance. These products may offer significant benefits, but like other money-like assets, ...

2026-01-23 0 667.1KB 41页
美联储：企业动态、通货膨胀与货币政策传导（英文版）

I study how fluctuations in business formation and destruction affect inflation and the transmission of monetary policy. To do this analysis, I extend a New Keynesian model to include endogenous business formation and destruction and heterogeneous pr...

2026-01-23 0 1.16MB 44页
美联储：讨厌杂货通胀的新原因：衡量和解释通胀异质性（英文版）

The 2021-2022 inflation episode presented the first opportunity to examine inflation and price dispersion using U.S. scanner data in a high-inflation environment. Data from 50,000 outlets reveals that price changes across similar goods grew more disp...

2026-01-23 0 2.21MB 58页
美联储：要找到中国冲击后的相对收益增长，请查看上游和制造业以外（英文版）

We find that US workers outside manuf acturing exhibit relative earnings increases after US trade liberalization with China. These relative gains cumulate over time as the beneficial effect of a worker’s upstream exposure—increased competition from C...

2026-01-23 0 3.86MB 48页
美联储：轶事重要吗？通过文本分析探索1970年至2025年的褐皮书（英文版）

We apply various natural language processing tools to see if the Beige Book is helpful in understanding economic activity. The Beige Book is a gathering of anecdotal compilations of current economic conditions from each Federal Reserve Bank, which is...

2026-01-23 0 2.72MB 34页
欧洲央行：风险增长的结构性驱动因素：来自VAR量化回归方法的见解（英文版）

We investigate the impact of structural shocks on the joint distribution of future real GDP growth and inflation in the euro area. We model the conditional mean of these variables, along with selected financial indicators, using a VAR and perform qua...

2026-01-23 0 6.34MB 39页
驾驭信贷动态：这对公司层面的投资重要吗？AnaCredit的证据（英文版）

This study investigates how credit supply shocks impact firm-level investment across the euro area using the novel AnaCredit database. Employing the methodology developed by Amiti and Weinstein (2018), we decompose loan growth rates into four compone...

2026-01-23 0 5.95MB 62页
欧洲央行：了解商业周期各阶段的通货膨胀与产出关系（英文版）

We examine the state dependence of monetary policy transmission and the parameters of the Phillips curve, dynamic IS equation, and Taylor rule across four regimes defined by joint deviations of inflation from the Federal Reserve’s target and output f...

2026-01-23 0 2.3MB 54页
世界银行：经济增长是否存在不足之处？马来西亚的混合方法分析（英文版）

This paper sheds light on a Malaysian paradox that may have lessons for the rest of the world. Despite high GDP growth with concurrent sharp reductions in income poverty and inequality, there has been widespread discontent in the country. The paper f...

2026-01-23 0 918.52KB 26页
美联储：LSAP对欧元区银行的溢出效应（英文版）

We study the spillovers of large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) in the U.S. on financial intermediation in the euro area using bank-level supervisory data and high-frequency identified policy surprises. Our detailed panel data permit us to trace the i...

2026-01-23 0 747.8KB 52页
美联储：多产品企业的生产率和质量（英文版）

This paper introduces a method for estimating productivity and quality at the firm-product level using a transformation function framework. We use firm optimization conditions to establish a one-to-one mapping between observed data and unobserved pro...

2026-01-23 0 1.74MB 66页
国际货币基金组织：巴西金融科技竞争与银行利润率下降（英文版）

The rise of fintech lenders has intensified competition in the banking industry. This study utilizes Brazilian bank-level data to examine the causal impact of increased competition on commercial banks’ lending rates and profitability. Employing a b...

2026-01-22 0 882.86KB 30页
国际货币基金组织：从Par到压力：流动性、赎回和系统性稳定币的甩卖（英文版）

Fiat-backed stablecoins are expanding, and their issuers may attain systemic relevance as reserve portfolios grow and as they may become increasingly intertwined with financial markets. This paper analyzes the resulting risks and the design choices t...

2026-01-22 0 3.43MB 42页
世界银行：十年后，集团咨询继续使企业受益：来自哥伦比亚汽车零部件公司的实验证据（英文版）

A randomized experiment tested the effectiveness of individual and small group–based consulting services on firms in the Colombian auto parts industry, finding improvements in management and firm performance over three to four years. This paper uses ...

2026-01-20 0 687.98KB 35页
世界银行：越南为何在医疗领域投入如此多的资源？对此我们能做些什么？（英文版）

The business practices of unregistered or informal enterprises can significantly affect their performance and the overall productivity of the sector. However, very little is known about the prevalence of business practices and the sorts of factors th...

2026-01-19 0 2.35MB 77页

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