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世界银行：银行业的转型风险（英文版）

The transition to a net-zero economy presents significant social and economic challenges, particularly for industries and regions reliant on high-carbon activities, hence the need for a just transition. This paper examines exposure to just transition...

2025-04-18 41 740.26KB 38页
国际货币基金组织：在高通胀时期，引导价格与金融稳定之间的权衡（英文版）

Trade-offs between price and financial stability can occur when inflation is above target andfinancial stress is rising. Use of central bank liquidity tools and other financial stability policies may, under somecircumstances, allow central banks to m...

2025-04-17 21 3.56MB 5页
国际清算银行：消费者在家庭调查中如何准确地报告其债务？

本文在先前研究的基础上进一步发展,通过结合智利家庭金融调查中个体借款人的代表性样本及其银行贷款记录进行独特匹配。我发现，调查结果与信用登记系统不同，不仅在报告的贷款数量上有所差异，而且在贷款金额上存在显著异质性。调查受访者能够准确报告违约状态。此外，很大一部分差异可以归因于调查答案中的舍入误差。最后，我发现当受访者不是家庭中收入最高成员时，差异更大。...

2025-04-17 21 978.74KB 47页
国际货币基金组织：人工智能的全球影响：关注差距（英文版）

This paper examines the uneven global impact of AI, highlighting how its effects will be a function of (i) countries’ sectoral exposure to AI, (ii) their preparedness to integrate these technologies into their economies, and (iii) their access to e...

2025-04-16 33 817.85KB 33页
欧洲经济政策研究所：移民对发达国家的影响：来自近期经济研究的见解（英文版）

Immigrants currently account for 3.3% of the world’s population. We know that migration is demographically important, but what are its implications for the labour market, public finance and political landscape? To answer these questions, this report ...

2025-04-16 16 996.75KB 49页
欧洲经济政策研究所：英国脱欧对欧洲经济的影响（英文版）

On 29 March 2017, the United Kingdom (UK) Government notified its exit to the EU in accordance with Article 50 of the EU Treaty.1 Brexit is therefore officially initiated. On 29 April, the Heads of State and Government of the European Council adopted...

2025-04-16 17 563.49KB 42页
欧洲经济政策研究所：欧元区冲击的性质及其吸收渠道（英文版）

We investigate the degree of (a)symmetry of macroeconomic fluctuations within the euro area (EA). Our findings indicate, first, a high degree of co-movement of cyclical GDP across EA member states. However, the amplitudes of national business cycles ...

2025-04-16 28 2.42MB 30页
欧洲经济政策研究所：德国经常账户盈余：它来自哪里，是否有害，以及德国是否应该采取行动？（英文版）

In the international economic policy debate Germany is criticized heavily for its current account surplus. This paper describes the factors that have led to the surplus and discusses the policy implications. The current account surplus is mainly a re...

2025-04-16 19 521.78KB 14页
欧洲经济政策研究所：欧元区的未来财政治理报告（英文版）

This paper discusses various options for reforming fiscal governance in the Eurozone. We focus on two possible reform approaches referred to as the ‘Maastricht model’ and the ‘US model’. The Maastricht model implies that ultimate responsibility for e...

2025-04-16 15 322.66KB 21页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：英国地方当局的小区域消费估算（英文版）

In this paper, we estimate average equivalised consumption measures across local authority districts in Great Britain. We use small-area estimation methods that combine information from a household budget survey, a much larger survey of local demogra...

2025-04-16 21 6.2MB 30页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：主观预期与避孕需求（英文版）

t One-quarter of married, fertile-age women in Sub-Saharan Africa report not wanting a pregnancy and yet do not practice contraception. We collect detailed data on the subjective beliefs of married, adult women not wanting a pregnancy and estimate a ...

2025-04-16 14 847.81KB 122页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：当职业劳动力供应异质化时，劳动力需求冲击的影响（英文版）

As technological advances accelerate and labour demands shift, the ability of workers to reallocate across occupations will be crucial for shaping labour market dynamics, inequality, and effective policy design. In this paper, we develop a tractable ...

2025-04-16 17 2.16MB 119页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：昂贵的关注和退休（英文版）

In UK data, I document the prevalence of misbeliefs regarding the State Pension eligibility age (SPA) and these misbeliefs’ predictivity of retirement. Exploiting policy variation, I estimate a lifecycle model of retirement in which rationally inatte...

2025-04-16 15 955.09KB 46页
代铁琳：超材料的智能设计研究进展

超材料是一种人工合成材料, 其结构经过精心设计和精密控制, 表现出不同于自然材料的特殊性能, 这些具有独特功能的超材料在光学、电磁学、声学、力学等领域具有重要的应用价值. 然而, 传统的超材料设计通常依赖于人工经验, 导致设计周期长, 缺乏灵活性和可调性, 难以实现大规模快速设计与量产. 高效设计与性能调控超材料已成为 CAD、机械工程和材料科学的重要研究方向. 近年来, 随着人工智能算法的快速发展, 智能算法在超材料设计领域中的应用越来越广泛, 展现出高效优化、生成多样性结构、缩短设计...

2025-04-15 20 2.76MB 25页
林欣苗：“成为更好的女性”—小红书与生活方式平台的文化政治

:在中国最为流行的生活方式平台小红书上,成长类内容的文化表达对于女性用户的身份与主体性建构具有深刻影响。本文以文化政治为核心理论, 借助文本分析和线上参与式观察的研究方法,详细考察小红书的发展状况、女性成长内容的文本特征,以及相关评论界面的内容互动,从生产前提、话语特征和生产机制三个层面剖析小红书平台上女性成长内容背后的权力关系。研究发现:首先,小红书的社区自治模式体现了新自由主义和中国礼俗社会的结合;其次,以平台塑造的中产阶级身份想象为基础,女性成长博主生产出一套对抗现代性焦虑...

2025-04-15 32 2.19MB 25页
ADB亚洲开发行：评估收入下降对家庭清洁燃料选择的影响：来自吉尔吉斯斯坦共和国的证据（英文版）

Low-carbon energy transition, which includes the replacement of fossil fuels with low-carbon energy infrastructure, the removal of subsidies, and other measures, requires households to be able to pay for low-carbon energy services. Economic shocks su...

2025-04-14 24 538.38KB 34页
生成式基础模型的可信度——指南、评估与展望（英文版）

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2025-04-14 18 11.16MB 231页
欧洲央行：利率调控与货币政策传导（英文版）

We study how short-term interest rate volatility affects the transmission of monetary policy. To identify exogenous changes in volatility, we exploit the pronounced heteroskedasticity visible in the time-series of euro area shortterm rates over the p...

2025-04-14 51 1.4MB 36页
世界银行：正规企业向非正规企业采用信通技术的溢出效应：来自赞比亚的证据（英文版）

This paper examines spillovers in the use of digital technologies from formal to informal businesses by exploring differences in geographic proximity. Using a unique set of geocoded data from the 2019 World Bank Enterprise Surveys in Zambia, the find...

2025-04-11 49 892.16KB 40页
世界银行：技术在缩小生产力性别差距方面的作用（英文版）

This paper explores new firm-level data to examine the gender gap in technology adoption and the associated effect on firm performance. The data show a small difference in technology sophistication between firms managed by women and those managed by ...

2025-04-11 37 985.79KB 48页

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