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世界银行：平衡肥料使用的产量收益：来自印度东部的证据（英文版）

As with most agricultural inputs, the optimal use of fertilizer leverages the production complementarities between different types of nutrients. Wide variation in the intensity of nutrient application rates suggests there are potentially large produc...

2025-06-10 73 1.65MB 36页
世界银行：气候变化影响和适应方案的宏观经济影响：一种建模方法（英文版）

Estimating the macroeconomic implications of climate change impacts and adaptation options is a topic of intense research. This paper presents a framework in the World Bank’s macrostructural model to assess climate-related damages. This approach has ...

2025-06-10 68 1.58MB 44页
世界银行：在金融服务业的竞争与稳定关系中导航：廷伯根规则的动态扩展（英文版）

This paper extends the classic Tinbergen rule within the context of financial regulation, explicitly accounting for the inverted U-shaped relationship between market competition and financial stability. Conventional policy frameworks, premised on ind...

2025-06-10 78 725.12KB 42页
新经济思想研究所：指导技术进步Anton Korinek†和Joseph Stiglitz（英文版）

Rapid progress in new technologies such as AI has led to widespread anxiety about adverse labor market impacts. This paper asks how to guide innovative efforts so as to increase labor demand and create betterpaying jobs while also evaluating the limi...

2025-06-10 36 1.86MB 42页
ADB亚洲开发银行：估算亚洲经济体缺失的出口（英文版）

Integration into global markets serves as a powerful catalyst for economic growth in developing economies, offering the potential to create high paying jobs and foster development. This paper uses the structural gravity model to quantify potential me...

2025-06-10 37 1.82MB 44页
ADB亚洲开发银行：住房市场异质性风险的决定因素和变化证据（英文版）

Using around 1 million repeat sales, we show idiosyncratic risk in real house price appreciation is time-varying, depends negatively on the initial house price, varies across locations, and decreases with the holding period. These systematic movement...

2025-06-10 31 607.43KB 40页
罗自荣：微型仿生机器人研究现状综述

微型仿生机器人作为尺寸在厘米级及以下的微型机电系统，具有体积小、质量轻、便于携带等特点，被广泛应用于环境探测、目标搜索、侦查打击等复杂环境中。为使广大研究人员了解微型仿生机器人的研究进展，基于全球最大的文摘和引文数据库 Scopus 对近 15 年的相关文献进行总结和分析，直观描绘了微型仿生机器人领域的发展趋势。从微型仿生机器人的仿生运动形式、制造技术、驱动技术三个关键点入手，辅以生物机电混合微型机器人特殊研究方向的介绍，总结了微型仿生机器人的总体特征和研究现状。分析目前微型仿生机器人发...

2025-06-10 30 841.95KB 19页
世界银行：反思财政政策：解决中东和北非地区的不平等和贫困问题（英文版）

This paper examines the redistributive impact of fiscal policy—specifically taxes and transfers—on poverty and inequality in eight countries in the Middle East and North Africa: the Arab Republic of Egypt, Djibouti, the Islamic Republic of Iran, Iraq...

2025-06-09 80 996.8KB 46页
Getty：阿德莱德·拉比-吉亚尔：革命时代的艺术家（英文版）

Adélaïde Labille-Guiard (1749–1803), a remarkable portraitist, was among the small number of women ever granted membership in the French Royal Academy of Painting and Sculpture. Her work was sought out by such diverse figures as the aunts of Louis XV...

2025-06-06 33 10.75MB 138页
国际货币基金组织：周期性财政乘数：政策组合与金融摩擦之谜（英文版）

This paper investigates dynamic relationships between U.S. government expenditure multipliers and the economy's cyclical position from 1949 to 2018 using a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) model. We challenge the existing li...

2025-06-06 36 9.36MB 53页
国际货币基金组织：ECCU CBI项目：区域意义和风险（英文版）

The Citizenship-by-Investment Programs (CBI) have long been recognized in their importance to fiscal revenue in the ECCU, but there is less clarity over their broader economic contributions. At the same time, investor demand in this market can be h...

2025-06-06 51 1MB 10页
国际货币基金组织：ECCU的财政可持续性和自然灾害风险：ECCU（英文版）

: ECCU countries are highly vulnerable to recurring and increasingly severe natural disasters. Evidence suggests that severe natural disaster have negative impacts on fiscal balances and debt in the region. This underscores the need for comprehensiv...

2025-06-06 52 1.15MB 10页
国际货币基金组织：ECCU面临的财产保险挑战（英文版）

Property insurance affordability presents a growing challenge for the ECCU. With a high reliance on global reinsurance to manage risks in high-exposure products like property, the recent tightening of global reinsurance market conditions has largely...

2025-06-06 63 1.16MB 11页
国际货币基金组织：利率敏感性情景指导货币政策（英文版）

This paper examines the challenges of formulating monetary policy in the face of heightened uncertainty. We develop a framework to assess the optimal monetary policy path under uncertainty, focusing on four key dimensions: the expectation formation p...

2025-06-06 52 1.04MB 31页
国际货币基金组织：情景综合与宏观经济风险（英文版）

We develop methodology to bridge scenario analysis and risk forecasting, leveraging their respective strengths in policy settings. The methodology, rooted in Bayesian analysis, addresses the fundamental challenge of reconciling judgmental narrative a...

2025-06-06 59 1.85MB 30页
国际货币基金组织：数字化：代际职业流动的催化剂？（英文版）

This paper analyzes the link between digitalization and intergenerational occupational mobility in Africa. We use a probit model estimated on a large sample of 28 million individuals aged 14 and higher and co-residing with at least one individual fro...

2025-06-06 54 557.08KB 24页
国际货币基金组织：为未来提供动力：ECCU的能源转型战略（英文版）

Reducing energy dependence in the ECCU entails improving energy efficiency and shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy. This energy transition will affect the transmission of and vulnerability to shocks (e.g., from natural disasters or commodi...

2025-06-06 58 1.52MB 13页
美联储：国债期货市场的市场流动性（英文版）

We study the behavior of liquidity providers and liquidity consumers in the 10-year U.S. Treasury futures market during the height of the COVID-19 shock in March 2020, a period of market turmoil when demand for liquidity was high. In March 2020, PTFs...

2025-06-05 38 2.81MB 28页
美联储：公司债务到期与商业周期波动（英文版）

Long-term debt is the main source of firm-financing in the U.S. We show that accounting for debt maturity is crucial for understanding business cycle dynamics. We develop a macroeconomic model with defaultable long-term debt and equity adjustment cos...

2025-06-05 42 2.77MB 55页
美联储：回顾“透视”（英文版）

This paper examines the place that a “look-through” approach to price shocks has acquired in inflation-targeting frameworks. The “look-through” approach reflects the fact that, in the event of a shock that is likely (on impact) to put a sizable share...

2025-06-05 43 383.14KB 32页

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