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世界银行：使用理想化设计方法评估东南欧极端高温事件增加对电力系统的干扰和相关经济影响（英文版）

As the world endeavors to decarbonize and shift toward sustainable energy sources, power systems will become increasingly dependent on weather conditions. This dependence creates the challenge of managing fluctuations in both power supply and demand ...

2025-04-11 47 5.52MB 45页
债权类ABS尽调新规解读

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2025-04-11 35 604.82KB 13页
DeepSeek模型在中文语境下的安全性评估（英文版）

Abstract. Recently, the DeepSeek series of models, leveraging their ex-ceptional reasoning capabilities and open-source strategy, is reshapingthe global AI landscape. Despite these advantages, they exhibit signif-icant safety deficiencies. Research c...

2025-04-10 31 6MB 12页
国际货币基金组织：欧洲的人工智能和生产力（英文版）

: The discussion on Artificial Intelligence (AI) often centers around its impact on productivity, but macroeconomic evidence for Europe remains scarce. Using the Acemoglu (2024) approach we simulate the medium-term impact of AI adoption on total fa...

2025-04-10 43 1.34MB 38页
国际货币基金组织：新冠肺炎期间收入支持政策对消费影响的微观证据（英文版）

Income-support policies can boost consumption during a catastrophic episode like the COVID-19 pandemic. Using data on Chilean municipalities, we investigate the impact on private consumption of income-support policies, such as lump-sum transfers and ...

2025-04-10 24 1.39MB 52页
国际货币基金组织：欧洲债务的可持续性：透过博恩的放大镜看（英文版）

No large European countries and only few small ones have met the so-called Bohn rule during the past 40 years or so. The Bohn rule specifies that past increases of public debt need to be systematically compensated with current and future fiscal surpl...

2025-04-10 24 1.66MB 50页
国际货币基金组织：数字金融普惠与中国收入不平等（英文版）

This paper uses both macro and household-level data to examine the relationship between digital financial inclusion, measured by the Peking University digital financial inclusion index, and income inequality in China. We find that a higher level of d...

2025-04-10 25 941.18KB 35页
国际货币基金组织：小型开放经济体的非常规货币政策（英文版）

This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the macroeconomic and fiscal impact of unconventional monetary tools in small open economies. Using a DSGE model, we show that the exchange rate plays a critical role to amplify the favourable impact ...

2025-04-10 24 4.1MB 69页
国际货币基金组织：巴西劳动诉讼案件对企业生产率的影响（英文版）

The Brazilian labor market went through significant changes in 2017 with reforms to reduce litigation and increase flexibility in employment contracts. Using firm-level data, we exploit the variation in litigation cases across Brazilian states to est...

2025-04-10 16 688.73KB 21页
国际货币基金组织：对安全资产的需求和全球美元周期的溢出效应（英文版）

US dollar appreciations can inflict sizable negative cross-border spillovers. We investigate such spillovers from flight-to-safety shocks and the accompanying “global dollar cycle”. Results show that negative real sector spillovers from US dollar app...

2025-04-10 30 3.77MB 54页
国际货币基金组织：人工智能的采用和不平等（英文版）

There are competing narratives about artificial intelligence’s impact on inequality. Some argue AI will exacerbate economic disparities, while others suggest it could reduce inequality by primarily disrupting high-income jobs. Using household microda...

2025-04-10 36 3.53MB 64页
DeepSeek-R1-通过以下方式激励LLMs中的推理能力强化学习（英文版）

We introduce our first-generation reasoning models, DeepSeek-R1-Zero and DeepSeek-R1.DeepSeek-R1-Zero, a model trained via large-scale reinforcement learning (RL) without super vised fine-tuning (SFT) as a preliminary step, demonstrates remarkable re...

2025-04-10 37 1.25MB 22页
世界银行：解开基础设施影响就业的关键经济渠道（英文版）

This paper takes stock of the literature on infrastructure and jobs published since the early 2000s, using a conceptual framework to identify the key channels through which different types of infrastructure impact jobs. Where relevant, it highlights ...

2025-04-09 50 974.52KB 55页
世界银行：贸易和全球价值链一体化的经济后果：计量视角（英文版）

This paper presents a new approach to measuring Global Value Chain (GVC) participation, essential for informed policy-making. It introduces a tripartite classification of GVC involvement—backward, forward, and two-sided— extending beyond trade to inc...

2025-04-09 51 2.33MB 50页
世界银行：气候政策是路径依赖的：对政策排序和可行性的影响（英文版）

Although the feasibility of introducing climate policies underpins global efforts to curb climate change, there has been limited analysis estimating the likelihood of introducing specific policies in different country contexts. Drawing on a dataset o...

2025-04-09 54 5.31MB 59页
生成式人工智能对批判性思维的影响调查（英文版）

The rise ofGenerative Al (GenAl) in knowledge workflows raisesquestions about its impact on critical thinking skills and practices.We survey 319 knowedge workers to invstigate 1) when andhow they perceive the enaction of critical thinking when usingG...

2025-04-09 34 1.03MB 23页
美联储：美国的能源消耗和不平等：谁是能源负担？（英文版）

Using a broad definition of energy consumption that includes both residential energy use and gasoline for transport, we identify 20% of households in the PSID as energy burdened (EB) based on a twice-the-median, income-based threshold. Logit analysis...

2025-04-09 23 526.7KB 44页
纽约联储：美国国债市场从全球金融危机到疫情的运作（英文版）

This article examines U.S. Treasury securities market functioning from the global financial crisis (GFC) through the Covid-19 pandemic given the ensuing market developments and associated policy responses. We describe the factors that have affected i...

2025-04-09 38 1.63MB 36页
美联储：20世纪90年代至20世纪20年代通货膨胀目标制的演变：发展与新挑战（英文版）

Since the initial launch of inflation targeting in the early 1990s in New Zealand and a few other countries, inflation targeting has become the predominant monetary policy strategy in large advanced and emerging market economies. Inflation targeting ...

2025-04-09 41 1.03MB 53页
国际清算银行：全球或区域安全资产：来自债券替代模式的证据（英文版）

This paper provides novel empirical evidence on portfolio rebalancing in international bond markets through the prism of investors’ demand for bonds. Using a granular dataset of global government and corporate bond holdings by mutual funds domiciled ...

2025-04-09 29 1.67MB 128页

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