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世界银行：增值税豁免、嵌入税和意外后果（英文版）

The value-added tax (VAT) has proved to be a highly effective tool at raising revenue in developed and developing countries alike. However, the effective operation of the VAT breaks down in the presence of exemptions. Unlike zero rates, exemptions de...

2025-05-22 64 1.24MB 33页
世界银行：利用家庭调查和专业企业调查来衡量非正规企业（英文版）

This paper compares two widely used methods for surveying informal enterprises: household surveys, which collect data on enterprises through household interviews, and area-based enterprise surveys, which directly target businesses in specific geograp...

2025-05-22 47 2.7MB 66页
世界银行：中国在非洲的进口与工业化：来自埃塞俄比亚的证据（英文版）

The rise of China in the global economy has been linked with negative impacts on employment across many high- and middle-income countries. However, evidence for African countries is limited. This paper investigates the causal relationship between Chi...

2025-05-22 54 1.14MB 73页
赵弥：我国乏燃料后处理经济性研究

：随着我国核能产业快速发展，天然铀需求和所产生乏燃料的数量也逐年增加，后处理产业的经济性必然会再次成为发展闭式核燃料循环产业需要解决的问题之一。该文参考经合组织核能署相关研究，开展乏燃料后处理经济性分析，对“一次通过”和后处理两种核燃料循环方式的成本进行测算。结果显示，现阶段后处理方案比“一次通过”更加经济，并且随着天然铀价格的持续上涨与后处理、MOX燃料制造技术成熟所带来的价格下降，其经济性将在未来愈发凸显...

2025-05-22 38 1.53MB 5页
晚期神经内分泌肿瘤治疗的现状与未来（英文版）

Neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) are relatively rare tumors that arise from peptidergic neurons and neuroendocrine cells. NENs are highly heterogeneous and can occur in any part of the body, with a particular prevalence in the digestive system. NENs c...

2025-05-20 15 187.38KB 7页
Perkins Coie：如何犯罪者违反社会的平等期望（英文版）

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2025-05-19 17 226.89KB 11页
国际货币基金组织：债务风险（英文版）

This paper proposes a novel framework for analyzing the risks surrounding the public debt outlook, the “Debt-at-Risk.” It employs a quantile panel regression framework to assess how current macrofinancial and political conditions impact the entire sp...

2025-05-19 15 4.59MB 60页
国际货币基金组织：2025年针对董事会认可的独立评估办公室关于国际货币基金组织任务授权演变应用的建议的实施计划报告（英文版）

This Management Implementation Plan (MIP) proposes actions in response to the Board-endorsed recommendations provided by the Independent Evaluation Office (IEO)'s report on the Evolving Application of the IMF's Mandate. The MIP addresses the ...

2025-05-19 24 388.76KB 22页
国际货币基金组织：释放劳动力潜力：赋权女性以促进经济增长和希腊繁荣（英文版）

The strong recent economic recovery has improved Greece’s near-term outlook. However, unfavorable demographics require raising the labor force participation, particularly for women, to boost medium-term growth. Using household survey, cross-country c...

2025-05-19 16 1.51MB 21页
国际货币基金组织：提升希腊司法系统效率：驱动因素与经济影响（英文版）

Greece’s judicial system efficiency has been one of the lowest in the EU; affecting adversely the country’s economic performance. The massive increase in demand for judiciary services during the crisis period resulted from significant business and pe...

2025-05-19 19 2.56MB 24页
国际货币基金组织：优化资源分配以促进希腊增长（英文版）

The productivity growth of the Greek economy has stagnated since the 2010 European Debt Crisis. Despite reforms in product market regulations; their impact on productivity has been mixed. Firm-level data shows that resource misallocation worsened fro...

2025-05-19 16 1.05MB 15页
国际货币基金组织：在分权制下防止财政危机：政府间政策与制度（英文版）

What instruments can governments deploy to prevent fiscal crises in decentralized fiscal systems? This analysis reveals that good public sector institutions, controls by the central government over local fiscal balances and borrowing, and intergove...

2025-05-19 18 1.23MB 36页
欧洲央行：当心大震动！非参数结构性通货膨胀模型（英文版）

We propose a novel empirical structural inflation model that captures non-linear shock transmission using a Bayesian machine learning framework that combines VARs with non-linear structural factor models. Unlike traditional linear models, our approac...

2025-05-19 22 1.51MB 40页
欧洲央行：抵押贷款再融资与边际消费倾向（英文版）

This paper investigates the role of mortgage refinancing in shaping the estimates of marginal propensity to consume (MPC) and its implications for fiscal policy. Using U.S. household data, we find that MPCs decrease during the year of mortgage refina...

2025-05-19 18 3.3MB 59页
欧洲央行：银行贷款利率与欧元区家庭贷款风险（英文版）

I assess the impact of the recent hike in bank lending rates on euro area retail borrowers using a novel microsimulation framework that updates household-level data of a recent representative survey with up-to-date macro-financial information. The ke...

2025-05-19 20 2.06MB 29页
市值风云：2025年新茶饮江湖风云再起-洗牌、突围与未来之战！

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2025-05-17 20 1.12MB 11页
巴德学院利维经济研究所：增长与纪律：股票流动一致性模型中的意大利财政困境（英文版）

This paper investigates the implications of the European Union’s revised fiscal governance framework for Italy, a country facing the dual challenge of high public debt and persistent economic stagnation. Using a Stock-Flow Consistent (SFC) macroecono...

2025-05-16 18 732.72KB 50页
ADB亚洲开发银行：双刃剑：中小企业推广政策的意外后果（英文版）

This paper investigates the unintended consequences of size-dependent regulations in small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) promotion policies. We use data from all registered Thai firms to analyze the effects of introducing a revenue cap in the SME...

2025-05-16 25 757.96KB 35页
国际货币基金组织：安道尔：收入及其长期驱动因素（英文版）

Income in Andorra has stagnated in the last 50 years. Starting from a very high level compared to peers, it has not grown as fast, as investment and productivity have lagged behind. In this study, we analyze the dynamics of income growth in Andorra f...

2025-05-16 20 2.08MB 12页
国际货币基金组织：安道尔老龄化的财政影响：养老金和医疗保健系统改革（英文版）

Andorra has the highest life expectancy and the lowest fertility rate in Europe, resulting in one of the fastest-aging populations on the continent. This study assesses the long-term fiscal implications of demographic change for Andorra’s pension and...

2025-05-16 23 877.76KB 16页

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