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美联储：政府债务、有限的远见和长期利率（英文版）

We study the relationship between government debt and interest rates in an environment where financial market participants have limited foresight about the future path of government debt. We show that limited foresight substantially attenuates estima...

2024-09-06 60 299.86KB 14页
美联储：制造业情绪：用文本分析预测工业生产（英文版）

This paper examines the link between industrial production and the sentiment expressed in natural language survey responses from U.S. manufacturing firms. We compare several natural language processing (NLP) techniques for classifying sentiment, rang...

2024-09-06 57 816.13KB 46页
国际清算银行：跨境银行贷款货币选择的决定因素（英文版）

This paper provides insights into the determinants of currency choice in cross-border bank lending, such as bilateral distance, financial and trade linkages to issuer countries of major currencies, and invoicing currency patterns. Cross-border bank l...

2024-09-06 63 1.38MB 21页
欧洲央行：国际服务贸易中的主导货币定价（英文版）

We analyze, for the first time, how firms choose the currency in which they price transactions in international trade of services and investigate, using direct evidence, whether the US dollar (USD) plays a dominant role in services trade. Drawing on ...

2024-09-06 65 1.91MB 43页
美联储：贷款人审查下的企业并购（英文版）

This paper examines corporate mergers and acquisitions (M&A) outcomes under lender scrutiny. Using the unique shocks of U.S. supervisory stress testing, we find that firms under increased lender scrutiny after their relationship banks fail stress...

2024-09-06 59 488.55KB 56页
美联储：发送多个预付费激励是否有效？来自随机实验的证据（英文版）

To encourage survey participation and improve sample representativeness, the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) offers an unconditional pre-paid monetary incentive and separate post-paid incentive upon survey completion. We conducted a pre-registered ...

2024-09-06 50 505.13KB 23页
国际清算银行：作为金融稳定工具的准备金要求（英文版）

We quantify the trade-offs of using reserve requirements (RR) as a financial stability tool. A tightening in RR reduces the amplitude of the credit cycle. This lowers the frequency and strength of financial stress episodes but at a cost of lower grow...

2024-09-06 93 4.89MB 44页
世界银行：学校关闭时的学习：H1N1疫情对学习损失和学习差距的影响（英文版）

This paper contributes to the growing body of evidence on the effects of school closures on learning outcomes, focusing on a recent event in a developing country. During the 2009 H1N1 pandemic outbreak, a significant number of public schools in São P...

2024-09-06 77 1.31MB 53页
世界银行：也门人道主义危机中早期发现粮食不安全的数据驱动方法（英文版）

The Republic of Yemen is enduring the world’s most severe protracted humanitarian crisis, compounded by conflict, economic collapse, and natural disasters. Current food insecurity assessments rely on expert evaluation of evidence with limited tempora...

2024-09-05 77 3.5MB 42页
欧洲央行：更新意大利的退休消费谜题：谁受到的影响最大？（英文版）

In this paper I investigate the retirement-consumption puzzle in Italy for the period 2010-2016, using SHIW data. In order to address the endogeneity of the retirement decision, I estimate the effect of retirement by exploiting the exogeneity of pens...

2024-09-05 46 1.91MB 59页
欧洲央行：流动性转型与欧元体系信贷业务（英文版）

Banks in the euro area can generate high-quality liquid assets (HQLA) by borrowing central bank reserves from the Eurosystem against non-HQLA collateral. This paper quantifies the extent of this liquidity transformation and finds that on average EUR ...

2024-09-05 52 1.45MB 45页
欧洲央行：共同基金和安全政府债券：回报重要吗？（英文版）

This paper investigates the sensitivity of the demand for safe government debt to currency unhedged and hedged excess returns in a sample of US mutual funds. We find evidence of active rebalancing towards government bonds that offer relatively higher...

2024-09-05 44 3.33MB 72页
ADB亚洲开发银行：2024年新冠肺炎大流行期间中小微企业商业数字化的意外后果：以印度尼西亚为例（英文版）

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic disrupted businesses, economies, and societies worldwide. This study employs unique data from Indonesia to investigate whether and how digitalization of micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) he...

2024-09-05 47 4.64MB 26页
ADB亚洲开发银行：2024年俄乌战争、化肥价格和粮食安全：来自亚洲稻米生产经济体的证据（英文版）

This study assesses the impact of increased fertilizer prices under different scenarios on rice production, consumption, trade and prices. Using a global rice model based on a partial equilibrium framework, the simulation results show that a 30% to 1...

2024-09-05 50 1.2MB 47页
欧洲央行：应对疫情后通胀的货币政策策略：使用欧洲央行的新区域模型进行评估（英文版）

We evaluate how the euro area economy would have performed since mid-2021 under alternative monetary policy strategies. We use the ECB’s workhorse estimated DSGE model and contrast actual policy conduct against alternative strategies which differ in ...

2024-09-05 57 2.39MB 40页
欧洲央行：外部融资的宏观与微观溢价与货币政策传导（英文版）

We establish basic facts about the external finance premium. Tens of millions of individual loan contracts extended to euro area firms allow studying the determinants of the external finance premium at the country, bank, firm, and contract levels of ...

2024-09-05 54 1.26MB 50页
国际清算银行：Finternet：面向未来的金融体系（英文版）

This paper lays out a vision for the Finternet: multiple financial ecosystems interconnected with each other, much like the internet, designed to empower individuals and businesses by placing them at the centre of their financial lives. It advocates ...

2024-09-05 48 846.74KB 44页
国际货币基金组织：巴西气候变化：主要脆弱性和机遇（英文版）

This paper assesses the Brazilian economy's exposure to climate change focusing on two key areas: agriculture and hydropower. While climate vulnerabilities are significant and recent patterns of land-use further amplify climate change risk, Brazi...

2024-09-05 43 2.63MB 32页
国际货币基金组织：北马其顿经济新校准DSGE模型概述（英文版）

This paper presents a calibrated DSGE model of the economy of North Macedonia that was developed at the National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia (NBRNM) within a technical assistance project delivered jointly by the International Monetary Fun...

2024-09-05 79 2.25MB 42页
国际货币基金组织：动荡中的货币：探索自然灾害对汇率的影响（英文版）

This paper investigates the impact of natural disasters on exchange rate movements in different country groups with different exchange rate regimes. Using a panel local projection model with a high-frequency monthly dataset of 177 countries during 19...

2024-09-05 57 1.41MB 37页

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