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欧洲央行：AMI-SeCo ISO20022迁移策略-欧洲证券交易后服务向ISO 20022通信过渡的建议（英文版）

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2025-12-26 12 891.5KB 50页
国际货币基金组织：预测GCC GDP：一种用于增强非石油GDP预测的机器学习解决方案（英文版）

This paper presents a machine learning–based nowcasting framework for estimating quarterly non-oil GDP growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Leveraging machine learning models tailored to each country, the framework integrates a bro...

2025-12-26 13 1.45MB 36页
法国预测与国际信息中心：货币政策与人寿保险盈利能力：银行保险在低收益世界中的优势（英文版）

This paper examines the effects of monetary policy on the profitability of life insurers during the prolonged low-interestrate period, leveraging a novel dataset of 31 leading French insurers from 2009 to 2018. Following supervisory practice and busi...

2025-12-25 11 1.49MB 45页
ADB亚洲开发银行：极端高温：新兴科学及其对亚太地区的影响（英文版）

The rising number and severity of extreme heat events in Asia and the Pacific has taken policymakers by surprise. Record-shattering heatwaves across the region have seen deaths and economic disruption, with impacts proliferating in recent years. In 2...

2025-12-25 14 2.64MB 82页
ADB亚洲开发银行：买方市场力量、运输方式和汇率冲击（英文版）

This paper studies how international buyers’ market power and transport mode shape the pass-through of exchange rate shocks to export prices. Using transaction level customs data from the Bangladeshi garment sector, we first document substantial buye...

2025-12-25 15 2.24MB 35页
ADB亚洲开发银行：蒙古男性的生活经历和暴力行为（英文版）

In the “Study on Men’s Life Experiences and Use of Violence in Mongolia,” men were asked about their own life experiences, attitudes, and behaviors, including their views on the use of violence. The results shed light on the factors associated with t...

2025-12-25 16 4.86MB 72页
ADB亚洲开发银行：气候法与绿色金融：法律承诺的价值（英文版）

Using newly compiled cross-economy data on national climate legislation matched with mutual fund portfolio holdings, this paper finds that enshrining a climate commitment in law redirects capital toward green assets. A staggered difference-in-differe...

2025-12-25 11 1.5MB 39页
ADB亚洲开发银行：数字港口一体化与码头效率：来自日本集装箱码头船舶、卡车和集装箱周转时间的证据（英文版）

This study examines port terminal efficiency through an empirical analysis of the turnaround times of vessels, trucks, and containers entering and leaving selected Japanese container terminals. Using a comprehensive dataset combining terminal operato...

2025-12-25 15 2.66MB 28页
美联储：美元化浪潮：来自综合国际债券数据库的新证据（英文版）

We investigate how the U.S. dollar’s prominence in the denomination of international debt securities has evolved in recent decades, using a comprehensive global dataset with far more extensive coverage than datasets used in prior literature. We find ...

2025-12-24 13 2.25MB 46页
美联储：私营和公共企业的回报率（英文版）

Privately owned business assets are an important source of wealth for families across the world, but measurement issues are believed to hamper our understanding of these firms. We use income and valuations of private firms in the Survey of Consumer F...

2025-12-24 16 626.38KB 42页
美联储：新冠肺炎危机期间基金投资组合再平衡中的基金（英文版）

During the COVID-19 crisis, large outflows from bond mutual funds disrupted debt markets. We show that “funds of funds”—mutual funds that invest in other mutual funds—accounted for a third of those outflows in March 2020. They rebalanced their portfo...

2025-12-24 11 6.25MB 62页
美联储：一个强大的线下支付风险框架（英文版）

The capability to make offline digital payments is emerging as a vital component of the broader payments ecosystem, especially in scenarios in which internet connectivity is unavailable such as during a crisis or natural disaster. Offline digital pay...

2025-12-24 15 1.05MB 18页
美联储：预算法学硕士：主动知识提炼，高效分类大型文本语料库（英文版）

Large Language Models (LLMs) are highly accurate in classification tasks, however, substantial computational and financial costs hinder their large-scale deployment in dynamic environments. Knowledge Distillation (KD) where a LLM ”teacher” trains a s...

2025-12-24 11 6.29MB 26页
国际清算银行：人工智能与发达和新兴经济体的增长：短期影响（英文版）

This paper investigates whether the positive effects of generative artificial intelligence (gen AI) on growth rate of value added differ across countries in the short run. Using an empirical strategy inspired by Rajan and Zingales (1998) and a datase...

2025-12-24 10 1.08MB 23页
国际清算银行：通货膨胀与联合债券外汇跨越之谜（英文版）

We generalize the yield spanning condition in the bond literature to non-linear models and to exchange rates. In standard macro-finance models, no variable should predict yield or exchange rate changes once standard yield curve factors are controlled...

2025-12-24 9 515KB 55页
国际清算银行：中国住房财富效应（英文版）

We estimate the effects of changes in house prices on consumption using unique data of Alipay transactions from Chinese households, spanning from January 2017 to March 2023. We find significant housing wealth effects: changes in house prices are posi...

2025-12-24 9 658.57KB 33页
世界银行：人力资本对当前和未来增长的贡献：世界银行长期增长模型（LTGM-HC）的扩展（英文版）

This paper presents the Long-Term Growth Model–Human Capital Extension (LTGM-HC), a spreadsheet-based tool kit that projects the human capital of the workforce from 2025 to 2100 for 153 countries. The LTGM-HC simulates pre-tertiary years of school...

2025-12-23 22 8.23MB 71页
世界银行：新兴市场和发展中经济体的外部融资：脆弱性差异的故事（英文版）

Over the past two decades, many emerging markets and developing economies have been viewed as increasingly resilient to external financial shocks. This paper assesses whether such resilience is broadly shared across emerging markets and developing ec...

2025-12-23 18 3.74MB 70页
ADB亚洲开发银行：新冠肺炎冲击下尼泊尔群体农业支持的长期效应（英文版）

This paper examines the long-term effects of agricultural support in western Nepal and whether support enhanced farmers’ resilience to coronavirus disease (COVID-19) disruptions. From 2014 to 2022, farmers received various combinations of training, i...

2025-12-23 11 752.65KB 55页
ADB亚洲开发银行：最后一英里的学习：来自菲律宾偏远学校计算机辅助教学随机对照试验的证据（英文版）

Although Asian economies have increased access to education, students’ learning often trails grade level expectations. In the Philippines, learning worsened through prolonged classroom closure during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. Toget...

2025-12-23 8 753.42KB 35页

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