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美联储：戴帽子还是不戴帽子？货币联盟中的能源危机（英文版）

During the energy crisis in 2022 some Euro Area countries introduced price caps on energy, while others did not, leading to about 30 percentage points higher energy inflation in uncapped countries. This paper investigates the trade-offs policymakers ...

2025-12-18 10 5.67MB 63页
美联储：金融创新者的人工智能创新：来自美国专利的证据（英文版）

This paper examines the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) patent rates (i.e., the number of AI patents/number of firms of the same type) and concentration metrics (i.e., the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) and Gini coefficient) among financi...

2025-12-18 10 7.07MB 50页
美联储：经济多样性与城市韧性（英文版）

We develop a framework to assess how economic shocks affect local labor markets and worker welfare, with a focus on city-level economic diversity. Using detailed worker flow data across cities, sectors, and occupations, we construct theory-consistent...

2025-12-18 8 5.8MB 37页
纽约联储：少为你，多为我：高利贷限额下的信贷再分配和配给（英文版）

Many states have capped consumer loan interest rates to protect households from high-cost lenders. Using triple-difference and event study analysis, we investigate how these usury limits affect the availability and allocation of credit across househo...

2025-12-18 9 1.61MB 37页
美联储：美元与财政特权脱钩（英文版）

We document a strong decoupling between the convenience yield on the US Dollar and US Treasuries. We measure the convenience of the U.S. dollar using covered interest parity (CIP) deviations between risk-free bank rates, such as secured overnight rat...

2025-12-18 12 1.92MB 71页
国际清算银行：偿付能力作为紧急流动性支持的要求（英文版）

Most central banks require firms to which they lend to be solvent. This applies also for emergency liquidity support. • In all jurisdictions surveyed in this paper, the solvency concept applied for emergency liquidity support purposes considers broad...

2025-12-18 10 305.39KB 14页
交通出行数字孪生：概念、架构、案例研究和未来挑战（英文版）

A Digital Twin is a digital replica of a living or nonliving physical entity, and this emerging technology attracted extensive attention from different industries during the past decade. Although a few Digital Twin studies have been conducted in the ...

2025-12-18 7 4.68MB 16页
国际清算银行：评估2025年美国关税对宏观经济的影响（英文版）

This paper develops a multi-country, multi-sector trade model with input-output linkages to analyze the global macroeconomic effects of the United States’(US) 2025 tariff policies. The model incorporates endogenous labor supply and captures the trans...

2025-12-17 7 568.5KB 29页
数字化分心与同伴影响：移动应用使用对学业与劳动力市场结果的影响（英文版）

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2025-12-16 8 1.12MB 84页
TASC：区域视角下的社会经济不利因素（英文版）

his short paper examines regional components of inequality in Ireland. It first looks at differences in income and living standards between regions, overviewing literature as it relates to the period up to 2000. It finds that foreign investment has p...

2025-12-16 7 390.79KB 14页
国际货币基金组织：欧元区可调利率抵押贷款的货币政策传导（英文版）

This paper studies the role of adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) in monetary policy transmission within the Euro Area. Conventional wisdom holds that ARMs are relevant per se. This study finds that the presence of liquidity-constrained households stro...

2025-12-15 9 5.61MB 88页
国际货币基金组织：撒哈拉以南非洲的作物生产力：研究与开发的作用（英文版）

This paper provides new cross-country evidence that greater investment in agricultural R&Dsignificantly mitigates the adverse effects of climate variability on crop yields in sub-Saharan Africa. Despitethis critical role, only a handful of count...

2025-12-15 8 816.03KB 28页
国际货币基金组织：水资源宏观临界性（英文版）

This paper examines the macro-criticality of water resources in the context of climate change. It summarizes the past and future trends of water scarcity and droughts and proposes a framework to analyze the macro-criticality and role of public sector...

2025-12-15 9 1.52MB 57页
法国预测与国际信息中心：极右翼对主流政治的影响：来自国民阵线的证据（英文版）

How does the electoral success of a far-right political force shape the strategies and policy platforms of mainstream candidates? We answer this question by exploiting the political shock of the creation of the Front National, an antiimmigration part...

2025-12-12 8 20.89MB 116页
法国预测与国际信息中心：能源和财政冲击：重新评估产业竞争力（英文版）

Energy price shocks never occur in isolation: their impact is shaped by the broader macroeconomic context, in particular by governments' fiscal stance. This paper investigates how two key forces-energy price shocks and demand stimuli induced by f...

2025-12-12 10 4.13MB 55页
国际货币基金组织：传统计量经济学模型与机器学习算法的GDP预测性能：模拟和案例研究（英文版）

Are Machine Learning (ML) algorithms superior to traditional econometric models for GDP nowcasting in a time series setting? Based on our evaluation of all models from both classes ever used in nowcasting across simulation and six country cases, trad...

2025-12-12 14 5.14MB 48页
国际货币基金组织：贷款定价中的碳风险：承诺渠道与实际影响（英文版）

We study how carbon risk affects the pricing of U.S. corporate loans and how firms’ and lenders’ commitments influence both loan terms and business decisions. Combining syndicated loan data with firm-level carbon emissions, we document a carbon risk ...

2025-12-12 11 1.19MB 45页
国际货币基金组织：对移动货币征税：理论与证据（英文版）

Mobile money has become a central digital alternative to traditional banking in developing countries, yet several African governments have introduced taxes on mobile money transactions. We develop a model that characterizes how such taxes affect paym...

2025-12-12 16 4.48MB 55页
国际货币基金组织：国际货币基金组织出版物中的粮食和农业部门：文本挖掘分析（英文版）

This paper presents a text-mining analysis of discussions of food and agriculture issues in publications of the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) from 1946 to mid-2025, with deeper analysis on subsets of this period for selected publication typ...

2025-12-12 13 1.58MB 30页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：数字货币和支付基础设施（英文版）

Digital technologies are challenging the traditional role of commercial banks as gatekeepers of payment systems. Benjamin Franklin, one of the founding fathers of the United States, may have had some insight into this changing role. His four question...

2025-12-12 9 768.37KB 16页

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