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美联储：使用宏观经济数据和Nowscast预测分析师的标普500收益预测误差和股市回报（英文版）

This study scrutinizes the quality of “bottom-up” forecasts of near-term S&P 500 Composite earnings, derived by aggregating analysts’ forecasts for individual firm-level earnings. We examine whether forecasts are broadly consistent with current m...

2024-07-17 69 1.03MB 32页
美联储：关于货币非中立性，经过衡量的信念能告诉我们什么？（英文版）

This paper studies how measured beliefs can be used to identify monetary non-neutrality. In a general equilibrium model with both nominal rigidities and endogenous information acquisition, we analytically characterize firms’ optimal dynamic informati...

2024-07-17 78 1.39MB 54页
美联储：（重新）连接通货膨胀和劳动力市场：两条曲线的故事（英文版）

We propose an empirical framework in which shocks to worker reallocation, aggregate activity, and labor supply drive the joint dynamics of labor market outcomes and inflation, and where reallocation shocks take two forms depending on whether they res...

2024-07-17 70 6.1MB 69页
世界银行：使市场准入国的债务可持续性框架与新兴市场相关（英文版）

The debt sustainability framework for market access countries has been designed by the International Monetary Fund for all market access countries, a set that includes emerging markets and advanced economies. The debt sustainability framework for mar...

2024-07-17 138 601.36KB 17页
国际清算银行：新备胎：本币信贷作为全球减震器（英文版）

It is well-known that dollar credit to emerging market (EM) corporates has expanded dramatically in the past two decades. However, the concurrent expansion of local currency credit, facilitated by more developed domestic financial systems, has been l...

2024-07-17 141 2.3MB 43页
为气候变化风险定价（英文版）

We estimate the risk premium for firm-level climate change exposure from 2003 to 2019. Exposure is constructed from discussions of climate-related risks and opportunities in earnings calls. When extracted from realized returns, the unconditional risk...

2024-07-17 56 514.76KB 42页
ITIF：对美国司法部反垄断司关于促进AI竞争的评论（英文版）

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2024-07-16 58 124.97KB 6页
中国碳排放权交易立法发展及实务操作研究

2013 年6月18日,我国碳市场首单交易在深圳市碳排放权交易试点的启动仪式上达成,深圳能源集团股份有限公司向广东中石油国际事业有限公司和汉能控股集团有限公司各售出1万吨碳排放配额。自此,中国碳排放权交易拉开序幕。经过近十年的发展,我国碳排放权交易无论是在立法建设层面,还是在实务操作层面均取得了显著成效。本文旨在通过梳理碳排放权交易立法沿革、总结碳排放权交易市场现状,归纳我国碳排放权交易发展的问题,并提出初步解决方案,以期对我国碳排放权交易市场建设有所裨益。...

2024-07-16 59 2.04MB 10页
睡眠障碍介导了HIV污名与黑人HIV感染者身心健康之间的关联（英文版）

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2024-07-16 110 814.56KB 10页
基于顺序选择的自动驾驶车辆十字路口调度方案

自动驾驶车辆的普及是城市交通发展的重要趋势,然而以交通灯为代表的现有调度方案难以指导这些车辆高效通过十字路口. 为此,本文设计了一种基于顺序选择的无交通灯十字路口调度方案以提高自动驾驶车辆通行效率. 首先根据车辆的物理性能对其到达路口的最早时间点进行估算,然后在此基础上寻找车辆可行的计划到达时间点,最终根据计划到达时间为每辆车制定到达路口的行驶计划. 在 SUMO( Simulation of Urban MObility)平台上进行的大量仿真实验验证了本文提出方案的有效性. 从实验结果...

2024-07-15 58 1.94MB 8页
基于强化学习的自主交叉口管理（英文版）

Developing a safer and more effective intersection-control system is essential given the trends of rising populations and vehicle numbers. Additionally, as vehicle communication and self-driving technologies evolve, we may create a more intelligent c...

2024-07-15 58 2.24MB 22页
混合交通（人类驾驶和无人驾驶车辆）的道路交叉口协调方案：系统回顾（英文版）

emergence leads to a paradigm shift in the road traffic system, making the penetration of autonomous vehicles fast and itscoexistence with human-driven cars inevitable. ) e migration from the traditional driving to the intelligent driving system wit...

2024-07-15 67 958.18KB 15页
联网和自动化车辆的交叉路口控制综述（英文版）

Purpose – This paper aims to review the studies on intersection control with connected and automated vehicles (CAVs). Design/methodology/approach – The most seminal and recent research in this area is reviewed. This study specifically focuses on two ...

2024-07-15 79 732.75KB 10页
拓展中间品贸易：市场主导下靶向施策

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2024-07-13 59 1.61MB 14页
理论尚未终结：从“跨大西洋辩论”到“跨太平洋对话”

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2024-07-13 73 1.2MB 39页
纵向一体化对英国患者使用医院服务的影响：活动数据分析（英文版）

: Debate surrounding the organisation and sustainability of primary care in England highlights the desirability of a more integrated approach to patient care across all settings. One such approach is ‘vertical integration’, where a provider of specia...

2024-07-12 81 495.47KB 8页
改进司法措施确定优先需要,以改进警务方面的数据和衡量标准（英文版）

Top-to-bottom changes throughout law enforcement agencies (LEAs) are needed to foster a fundamental data culture to improve data initiatives in policing. • LEAs should hire individuals with strong analytic skills into permanent positions and prov...

2024-07-12 73 301.78KB 24页
缩小创新差距人工智能和机器人是中国城市创新的驱动力（英文版）

Artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics are revolutionising production, yet their potential to stimulate innovation and change innovation patterns remains underexplored. This paper examines whether AI and robotics can spearhead technological innova...

2024-07-12 152 4.43MB 49页
一种经济有效的检测结直肠癌筛查血液方法

Background: Blood-based biomarker tests can potentially change the landscape of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. We characterize the conditions under which blood test screening would be as effective and cost-effective as annual fecal immunochemical...

2024-07-11 70 1.15MB 9页
将公平视角应用于数字内容透明度和全球人工智能标准

This paper provides public comment on two National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) draft publications on technical approaches for promoting transparency in digital content and developing global artificial intelligence (AI) standards. The...

2024-07-11 84 391.14KB 21页

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