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欧洲央行：风险抵押品和违约概率（英文版）

We use a novel data set containing all corporate loans throughout the Eurozone to document a series of novel stylized facts on the relationship between collateral and the probability of default. First, we show that the pervasive empirical finding tha...

2026-01-15 15 1.41MB 40页
世界银行：既不过早，也不过晚：作为结果反射的重组（英文版）

This paper examines whether project restructuring improves World Bank project performance. Using panel data on Implementation Status and Results ratings, it combines two-way fixed effects with the PanelMatch estimator to address concerns that restruc...

2026-01-15 18 3.76MB 54页
国际货币基金组织：阿尔巴尼亚引入正中性逆周期资本缓冲的积木式方法（英文版）

: The paper discusses the introduction of a positive neutral countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) for Albania. The building blocks present a step-by-step guide to assess preconditions to be in place. Applied to the case of Albania, authors employ a ...

2026-01-13 11 1.12MB 23页
国际货币基金组织：与市场对话：国际货币基金组织的公告在投资者信心中的作用（英文版）

This paper examines the effect of IMF staff and executive board announcements on sovereign bond spreads across emerging and developing economies during economic uncertainty. We derive testable predictions from a stylized model in which IMF announceme...

2026-01-13 11 2.97MB 53页
世界银行：集团咨询在十年后继续为企业带来益处：来自哥伦比亚汽车零部件企业的实证证据（英文版）

A randomized experiment tested the effectiveness of individual and small group–based consulting services on firms in the Colombian auto parts industry, finding improvements in management and firm performance over three to four years. This paper uses ...

2026-01-13 18 687.98KB 35页
世界银行：政策执行的制度能力：一个分析框架（英文版）

State capacity is an important prerequisite for policy implementation, yet at the country level it is difficult to measure, assess, and reform. This paper proposes a focus on institutional capacity: the ability of public institutions to implement the...

2026-01-13 16 1.53MB 38页
世界银行：拥有受过更多教育的业主的非正式企业是否采用更好的商业实践？来自中非共和国的证据（英文版）

The business practices of unregistered or informal enterprises can significantly affect their performance and the overall productivity of the sector. However, very little is known about the prevalence of business practices and the sorts of factors th...

2026-01-13 24 1.81MB 94页
世界银行：消除创业性别差距：克服女性企业家在法律和实践中的挑战（英文版）

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2026-01-13 14 1.19MB 48页
世界银行：消除创业性别差距：克服女性企业家在法律和实践中的挑战（英文版）

Despite significant strides toward gender equality, women around the world continue to encounter systemic obstacles that hinder their entrepreneurial success. This paper systematically reviews the literature on the barriers female entrepreneurs face ...

2026-01-13 19 1.19MB 48页
世界银行：对新兴和发展中经济体的投资（英文版）

The world faces a pressing challenge to meet key development objectives amid slowing growth and rising macroeconomic and geopolitical risks. With the number of job seekers rising rapidly, infrastructure shortfalls continuing to be large, and climate ...

2026-01-13 15 878.78KB 52页
世界银行：脆弱、冲突和暴力背景下的气候和社会可持续性（英文版）

Climate change is widely recognized as a driver of violent conflict, but its broader social effects remain less understood. Ignoring these dimensions risks a vicious cycle where climate policies might undermine socially just adaptation. Evidence is s...

2026-01-13 17 1.39MB 44页
世界银行：热、非正式性和错配：企业在短期和长期的适应（英文版）

How do climate shocks shape resource allocation across firms? Rising temperatures might worsen allocative efficiency if large, productive firms face constraints in adapting. This paper assesses this question in India, an economy characterized by info...

2026-01-13 15 1004.3KB 76页
世界银行：南非的城市碎片化：劳动力市场摩擦的不平等负担（英文版）

Using high-resolution administrative, census, and satellite data, this paper shows that South African cities are characterized by spatial mismatches between where people live and where jobs are located, relative to 20 global peers. Areas within 5 kil...

2026-01-13 15 7.1MB 50页
世界银行：大规模推动：巴基斯坦旁遮普省学校停课期间政府短信活动的证据（英文版）

Text and voice messages have emerged as a low-cost and popular tool for nudging recipients to change behavior. This paper presents findings from a randomized controlled trial designed to evaluate the impact of an information campaign using text and v...

2026-01-13 16 891.87KB 36页
世界银行：公司信贷约束与电子支付：全球分析（英文版）

Understanding the drivers of credit constraints is essential for fostering private sector development and firm growth. This study examines the channels through which electronic payments influence firm credit constraints across 101 economies. It explo...

2026-01-13 19 951.64KB 34页
世界银行：“我想突破束缚”：法律和社会规范如何为女性打开机会之门（英文版）

This paper develops a conceptual framework to analyze how gendered social norms mediate the effects of legal frameworks on women’s economic empowerment. Using the World Bank’s Women, Business and the Law domains, Safety, Mobility, Work, Pay, Marriage...

2026-01-13 13 1.34MB 66页
世界银行：不偏不倚：重组作为结果的反射（英文版）

This paper examines whether project restructuring improves World Bank project performance. Using panel data on Implementation Status and Results ratings, it combines two-way fixed effects with the PanelMatch estimator to address concerns that restruc...

2026-01-13 15 3.76MB 54页
智能体人工智能的进展：回到未来（英文版）

In light of the recent convergence between Agentic AI and our field ofAlgorithmization, this paper seeks to restore conceptual clarity and provide a structuredanalytical framework for an increasingly fragmented discourse. First, (a) it examines theco...

2026-01-12 13 1.69MB 55页
国际货币基金组织：解决博茨瓦纳的增长瓶颈（英文版）

While Botswana achieved strong post-independence growth supported by prudent macroeconomic management and diamond revenues, economic performance has weakened over the past two decades, with slower growth, persistently high unemployment, and erosion o...

2026-01-12 10 569.78KB 22页
国际货币基金组织：克罗地亚的通货膨胀：财政政策的作用（英文版）

After a period of sharp deceleration, inflation in Croatia has inched up since late 2024 to about 4–4½ percent year-on-year lately, among the highest in the euro area. As monetary policy is set at the euro zone level, this paper aims to quantify how ...

2026-01-12 8 3.74MB 24页

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