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新美国基金会：美国多选区中的选民服务如何运作？（英文版）

Constituent service occupies a prominent piece of Congress’ overall capacity, 4 but few studies address the nuance of constituent services in the U.S. For this reason, it is important to briefly describe key elements of congressional constituent serv...

2026-01-30 0 1.23MB 24页
国际清算银行：一个具有总加价漂移的可处理菜单成本模型（英文版）

This paper extends the menu cost model of Gertler and Leahy (2008) by introducing a drift in the aggregate markup. Assuming that the drift is always negative and not large, consistent with moderate and positive trend inflation, the paper analytically...

2026-01-30 0 1.08MB 100页
欧洲央行：环境评分和债券定价：最好是好的，最好是绿色的（英文版）

We provide empirical evidence that the pricing of green bonds tends to be highly sophisticated and based on a two-tiered approach. When buying a green bond, investors do not look only at the presence of a green label, but also consider additional cha...

2026-01-30 0 1.59MB 39页
国际货币基金组织：从产品级出口篮子的角度理解中国2024-25年的前沿（英文版）

A striking feature of US-China trade tensions in mid-2025 is China’s acceleration of exports to the US ahead of new tariff increases, a phenomenon we term export frontloading. To understand how this was achieved, we develop a factor model analytical ...

2026-01-29 0 998.95KB 35页
国际货币基金组织：撒哈拉以南非洲的财政乘数叙述（英文版）

This paper estimates the macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidations in sub-Saharan Africa using a newly constructed narrative dataset of discretionary fiscal policy actions for 14 countries over 1990–2024. The dataset, documented in Abdel-Latif e...

2026-01-29 0 706.16KB 40页
国际货币基金组织：撒哈拉以南非洲的叙述性财政整合数据集（英文版）

This paper introduces the first narrative-based dataset on fiscal consolidations for sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Drawing on staff reports from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) during the period 1990-2024 and using an approach assisted by artificia...

2026-01-29 0 966.71KB 111页
巴德学院利维经济研究所：OPENSIMPLEST：最小的SFC开放经济模型（英文版）

This article introduces OPENSIMPLEST, a highly parsimonious stock-flow consistent (SFC) model of an open economy. The model is designed as a pedagogical and analytical benchmark that preserves the core mechanisms of more complex open-economy SFC fram...

2026-01-29 0 994.22KB 64页
国际清算银行：人工智能采用、生产率和就业：来自欧洲企业的证据（英文版）

This paper provides new evidence on how the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) affects productivity and employment in Europe. Using matched EIBIS-ORBIS data on more than 12,000 non-financial firms in the European Union (EU) and United States (U...

2026-01-28 0 807.05KB 36页
国际清算银行：美元化浪潮：来自综合国际债券数据库的新证据（英文版）

We investigate how the U.S. dollar’s prominence in the denomination of international debt securities has evolved in recent decades, using a comprehensive global dataset with far more extensive coverage than datasets used in prior literature. We find ...

2026-01-28 0 2.25MB 46页
国际清算银行：人工智能的采用、生产力和就业：来自欧洲公司的证据（英文版）

This paper provides new evidence on how the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) affects productivity and employment in Europe. Using matched EIBIS-ORBIS data on more than 12,000 non-financial firms in the European Union (EU) and United States (U...

2026-01-28 0 807.05KB 36页
世界银行：LLM援助是否改善了医疗服务？使用现场医生和实验室测试进行评估（英文版）

This study tests the effects of large language model (LLM) decision support on patient care at two outpatient clinics in Nigeria. Health workers were given the option to make revisions to their initial care plan based on LLM feedback. The unassisted ...

2026-01-28 0 1.15MB 43页
智能体化人工智能(Agentic AI)的前行之路：挑战与机遇（英文版）

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2026-01-27 0 755.69KB 18页
世界银行：大宗商品出口商分担多少风险？（英文版）

Commodity-exporting countries face important challenges in shielding their economies from commodity price volatility. In an ideal world, a country would buy and sell foreign assets to insure itself against volatility caused by the destabilizing econo...

2026-01-26 0 1.1MB 71页
世界银行：低收入和中等收入国家劳动力市场交付系统的概念框架-追求效率、规模和影响（英文版）

This paper presents a conceptual framework to guide the development of labor market delivery systems suitable for low- and middle income countries. Case studies show that in most countries labor market programs are characterized by high fragmentation...

2026-01-26 0 1.55MB 38页
世界银行：发展中国家不可靠的电力：薄弱机构的作用（英文版）

Unreliable electricity supply in developing countries is a persistent problem with significant adverse consequences for economic growth. This paper uses a novel database on utilities, which provides systematic data on reliability, and links it to ava...

2026-01-26 0 1.39MB 49页
世界银行：非洲贸易和投资促进全球复原力：世界银行2025年非洲增长与机遇-行动研究（AGORA）会议上的马泰讲座（英文版）

This paper, based on the Mattei Lecture that the author delivered at the 2025 Africa Growth and Opportunity–Research in Action Conference, argues that Africa can anchor a new model of growth—and bolster global resilience—by shifting from commodity de...

2026-01-26 0 274.85KB 9页
世界银行：既不太少也不太晚：重组作为结果的反映（英文版）

This paper examines whether project restructuring improves World Bank project performance. Using panel data on Implementation Status and Results ratings, it combines two-way fixed effects with the PanelMatch estimator to address concerns that restruc...

2026-01-26 0 3.76MB 54页
世界银行：评估巴拉圭在欧盟无森林砍伐监管下的脆弱性（英文版）

This paper examines Paraguay’s vulnerability to the European Union’s Regulation on Deforestation-Free Products. Drawing on trade data, customs firm-level data, and high-resolution geospatial analysis, it assesses exposure at the country, firm, and ge...

2026-01-26 0 1.39MB 27页
世界银行：热度、非正规性和分配不当：短期和长期的企业适应（英文版）

How do climate shocks shape resource allocation across firms? Rising temperatures might worsen allocative efficiency if large, productive firms face constraints in adapting. This paper assesses this question in India, an economy characterized by info...

2026-01-26 0 1004.3KB 76页
法国预测与国际信息中心：MIRAGE模型文档版本2.0（英文版）

MIRAGE is a multi-region, multi-sector computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, initially devoted to trade policy analysis and more recently applied to long-term growth and environmental issues. It incorporates energy, carbon pricing, imperfect co...

2026-01-23 0 1.3MB 64页

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