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发展计划能对抗叛乱吗？阿富汗实地实验的证据（英文版）

We exploit a randomized controlled trial conducted between 2007 and 2011 to identify the effect of Afghanistan’s largest local governance and development program on the strength of the insurgency. We find that the program reduced violence, improved e...

2025-08-01 32 890.43KB 37页
法国预测与国际信息中心：跨国公司在这里和那里：附属公司对全球危机的反应（英文版）

This paper investigates how multinational enterprises (MNEs) adapted their global operations in the post COVID-19 period. Using the pandemic as a natural experiment, we analyze how MNEs adjusted employment across their foreign and domestic affiliates...

2025-08-01 30 1.46MB 45页
欧洲央行：细节问题：欧元区贷款定价和货币政策传导（英文版）

Does the maturity of the relevant risk-free rate influence the strength of monetary policy pass-through to interest rates on new loans? To address this question, we present novel empirical evidence on lending practices across all euro area countries,...

2025-07-31 25 2.79MB 64页
世界银行：保护刚果盆地的森林：刚果共和国绩效挂钩融资的经验基础（英文版）

The Republic of Congo, a country with extensive tropical forests and low deforestation rates, needs to balance exportdriven development, especially through timber production, and sustainable forest management. Despite national commitments to conserve...

2025-07-31 69 9.85MB 64页
世界银行：挤出市场与银行业危机（英文版）

This paper studies the effect of government issuance on firm issuance during banking crises using transaction-level bond and loan data from 66 countries between 1991 and 2017. Governments rarely issue loans, preferring to issue in bond markets. In co...

2025-07-31 62 580.6KB 46页
ADB亚洲开发银行：从牧场到市场：乳制品收集中心如何提高蒙古农民的收入（英文版）

The Asian Development Bank financed the Gender-Inclusive Dairy Value Chain Investment Project in Mongolia from 2019 to 2023 to support the investment plan of Milko Limited Liability Company (Milko) aimed at expanding the company’s milk collection fro...

2025-07-31 28 1.31MB 55页
国际清算银行：将资产负债表政策纳入货币政策条件（英文版）

This paper introduces a new Monetary Policy Conditions Index (MCI) that integrates conventional and unconventional monetary policy tools into a unified measure. The MCI is a weighted average of short-term interest rate and central bank balance sheet ...

2025-07-31 43 3.74MB 41页
欧洲央行：超越短期：货币政策与创新投资（英文版）

This paper provides novel empirical evidence on the impact of monetary policy on innovation investment using unique firm-level data. First, we document the effect of a large, systematic monetary tightening (ECB rate increases from 0% to 4.5% during 2...

2025-07-31 37 1.92MB 47页
欧洲央行：人工智能与欧洲女性就业（英文版）

We examine the link between the diffusion of artificial intelligence (AI) enabled technologies and changes in the female employment share in 16 European countries over the period 2011-2019. Using data for occupations at the 3-digit level, we find tha...

2025-07-31 52 1.15MB 17页
ADB亚洲开发银行：支持亚太地区向低碳和气候适应型未来的公正过渡（英文版）

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2025-07-31 30 314.89KB 58页
中国汽车工业的战略转型（英文版）

In the past few years, the global automobile industry is developing difficultly because of the influence from the financial crisis. In contrast, China's automobile production and sales are still having a blowout type growth, and jumped into the ...

2025-07-31 138 182.35KB 9页
ADB亚洲开发银行：管理申诉：良好做法说明（英文版）

We designed this document to help you follow the Asian Development Bank (ADB) environmental and social policies. You will find guidelines here on how to design and implement effective, project-specific grievance resolution processes. This guidance re...

2025-07-31 119 5.9MB 90页
国际货币基金组织：产业政策与企业绩效：一种增强的关系（英文版）

This paper empirically studies the relationship between industrial policies (IPs) and firm performance, showing it varies by instrument, firm and industry characteristics, value chain position, and time horizon. Consistent with the trade literature...

2025-07-30 24 22.98MB 57页
国际货币基金组织：金融失衡、系统性压力和宏观审慎影响（英文版）

The effectiveness of macroprudential policy framework depends to a large extent on how the process of monitoring and assessing systemic risks and the calibration of macroprudential policy tools are operationalized in practice. This paper has two main...

2025-07-30 36 2.54MB 44页
国际货币基金组织：贸易伙伴对美国关税的回应（英文版）

Recently announced and enacted US tariffs reduce partners’ access to the US market and lead to trade diversion. Impacted countries may respond in (at least) three ways: imposing retaliatory tariffs on the US, resorting to industrial policy to support...

2025-07-30 25 1.61MB 42页
国际货币基金组织：评估自有住房成本计量变化的货币政策影响：来自ICEQMOD的见解（英文版）

This paper evaluates the policy implications of changing the methodology for calculating the cost of owner-occupied housing in the CPI from a “user cost” approach to “rental equivalence” approach. A synthetic historical CPI series based on the new me...

2025-07-30 29 1006.45KB 15页
国际货币基金组织：全球通货膨胀激增的能源来源（英文版）

This paper investigates the relationship between energy prices and inflation dynamics in the context of the global inflation surge during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a comprehensive sector-level dataset covering over 30 countries and a local project...

2025-07-30 25 3.29MB 42页
国际货币基金组织：坦桑尼亚的商业环境和生产力：来自企业层面数据的证据（英文版）

Using the World Bank’s Enterprise Surveys (ES) data, this paper sheds light on the relationship between total factor productivity (TFP) and the business environment in Tanzania. It finds statistically significant evidence that cumbersome tax administ...

2025-07-30 31 817.28KB 17页
基础模型驱动的推荐系统综述：从特征驱动、生成式到智能体范式（英文版）

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2025-07-30 26 1.38MB 30页
国际货币基金组织：在坦桑尼亚快速增长的人口中培养人力资本：坦桑尼亚（英文版）

Tanzania’s human capital development needs are staggering and need to be addressed urgently to reap the benefits of the ongoing demographic transition. Almost half of Tanzanians are under 18 years of age, and the population is projected to double to ...

2025-07-30 28 496.59KB 12页

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