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国际货币基金组织：贸易伙伴对美国关税的回应（英文版）

Recently announced and enacted US tariffs reduce partners’ access to the US market and lead to trade diversion. Impacted countries may respond in (at least) three ways: imposing retaliatory tariffs on the US, resorting to industrial policy to support...

2025-07-30 25 1.61MB 42页
国际货币基金组织：评估自有住房成本计量变化的货币政策影响：来自ICEQMOD的见解（英文版）

This paper evaluates the policy implications of changing the methodology for calculating the cost of owner-occupied housing in the CPI from a “user cost” approach to “rental equivalence” approach. A synthetic historical CPI series based on the new me...

2025-07-30 29 1006.45KB 15页
国际货币基金组织：全球通货膨胀激增的能源来源（英文版）

This paper investigates the relationship between energy prices and inflation dynamics in the context of the global inflation surge during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a comprehensive sector-level dataset covering over 30 countries and a local project...

2025-07-30 25 3.29MB 42页
国际货币基金组织：坦桑尼亚的商业环境和生产力：来自企业层面数据的证据（英文版）

Using the World Bank’s Enterprise Surveys (ES) data, this paper sheds light on the relationship between total factor productivity (TFP) and the business environment in Tanzania. It finds statistically significant evidence that cumbersome tax administ...

2025-07-30 31 817.28KB 17页
基础模型驱动的推荐系统综述：从特征驱动、生成式到智能体范式（英文版）

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2025-07-30 26 1.38MB 30页
国际货币基金组织：在坦桑尼亚快速增长的人口中培养人力资本：坦桑尼亚（英文版）

Tanzania’s human capital development needs are staggering and need to be addressed urgently to reap the benefits of the ongoing demographic transition. Almost half of Tanzanians are under 18 years of age, and the population is projected to double to ...

2025-07-30 28 496.59KB 12页
陈艳波：零碳园区研究综述及展望

能源生产活动和基础服务设施，同时也成为碳排放的重要源头。园区物理界限分明，生态系统独立，运营管理权明晰，使得园区成为践行碳中和的天然试验田。首先，介绍零碳园区的典型构成，并对其净零碳能力进行分析；其次，从物理层、信息层、平台层、应用层 4 个层面分析零碳园区发展形态，提出园区零碳操作系统的架构；然后，对零碳园区的关键技术进行分析，从园区碳排放核算技术、园区低碳经济体系、园区低碳管控技术 3 个方面对零碳园区的研究现状进行总结，同时分析现有研究的不足和未来研究方向；最后，提出零碳...

2025-07-25 42 1.33MB 22页
ADB亚洲开发银行：深度学习揭示东亚和东南亚领先公司的环境、社会和治理重点（英文版）

Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations are becoming increasingly vital in corporate decision-making, especially for global companies, and in evaluating corporate performance and investments. This study examines the ESG tendencies ...

2025-07-24 33 5.32MB 43页
ADB亚洲开发银行：碳边界政策对排放、全球价值链和福利的影响建模（英文版）

This paper employs a computational general equilibrium model to examine the potential impact of the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). The paper considers the impact of extending CBAM to other economies, examining whether app...

2025-07-24 22 471.26KB 31页
ADB亚洲开发银行：提高税收收入的有效机制（英文版）

How well raising tax rates can succeed for an economy intent on increasing tax revenue and narrowing the tax-to-GDP-ratio gap with other economies depends on its ability to meet certain conditions. This paper investigates these conditions and demonst...

2025-07-24 28 533.11KB 27页
ADB亚洲开发银行：新兴市场的货币政策与企业生产力（英文版）

This paper examines the impact of monetary policy shocks on firm-level productivity across 32 emerging market economies from 2000 to 2023, using panel local projections and a comprehensive firm-level dataset. We identify exogenous monetary policy sho...

2025-07-24 26 1.42MB 25页
欧洲央行：银行脆弱性与风险管理（英文版）

Shocks to a bank’s ability to raise liquidity at short notice can trigger depositor panics. Why don’t banks take a more active role in managing these risks? We study contingent risk management (hedging) in a standard global-games model of a bank run....

2025-07-24 31 1.49MB 60页
未来能源研究所：全球化经济中的回收利用（英文版）

Developing a circular economy through waste recycling has emerged as a paradigm for conserving nonrenewable resources. But what does implementing a circular economy mean in the context of globalized economies? Waste generated by consumption, includin...

2025-07-24 28 2.66MB 83页
国际货币基金组织：解密加密货币：如何估算国际稳定币流量（英文版）

This paper presents a novel methodology—leveraging a combination of AI and machine learning to estimate the geographic distribution of international stablecoin flows, overcoming the “anonymity” of crypto assets. Analyzing 2024 stablecoin transactions...

2025-07-24 35 4.33MB 55页
国际货币基金组织：利比亚能源补贴改革：利比亚（英文版）

Energy subsidies have become a significant burden on government finances in Libya. The pervasive nature of subsidies has led to rampant corruption, smuggling, and a diversion of resources from essential public services. The paper identifies key barr...

2025-07-24 38 1.79MB 13页
国际货币基金组织：2025年毛里塔尼亚伊斯兰共和国：根据扩展信贷机制和扩展基金机制安排进行的第四次审查报告（英文版）

Economic growth slowed to 5.2 percent in 2024 (compared to 6.5 percent in 2023), reflecting a sluggish extractive sector and inflation remains contained. Growth is projected to slow further to 4.0 percent in 2025 due to the projected contraction in t...

2025-07-24 102 1.88MB 104页
国际货币基金组织：纳米比亚信贷发展与宏观金融风险：纳米比亚（英文版）

This chapter examines the evolution of bank credit in Namibia over the past two decades. It highlights notable trends and the composition of credit growth, with a particular focus on the private sector. Additionally, it identifies potential macro-fin...

2025-07-24 37 2.71MB 13页
国际货币基金组织：尼日利亚的财政预测错误（英文版）

The Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning's budget implementation reports reveal large fiscal forecast errors over the 2011-2023 period, for a range of fiscal aggregates including total revenues, expenditures, and the fiscal deficit. Revenues ...

2025-07-24 19 1.55MB 16页
国际货币基金组织：尼日利亚加密货币市场监管（英文版）

: In recent years, the trading of crypto assets has surged among individuals and businesses in Nigeria. The authorities are strengthening the regulatory and supervisory framework for crypto assets to address potential risks including undetected cap...

2025-07-24 31 1.06MB 17页
国际货币基金组织：地缘经济碎片化：对爱尔兰的影响（英文版）

Ireland’s economy is deeply connected to the global trade network and relies on foreign direct investment (FDI), notably from the US. This paper presents a framework to estimate the impact of geo-economic fragmentation through three channels: (1) sup...

2025-07-22 57 3.59MB 72页

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