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国际货币基金组织：研发分配不当是否导致了增长放缓？（英文版）

This paper provides evidence that rising misallocation in the R&D sector contributed to the recent slowdown in U.S. productivity growth. I develop a growth accounting framework allowing for misallocation of R&D resources across firms captured...

2025-09-22 0 1.3MB 69页
美联储：食品、燃料和事实：全球价格冲击的分配效应（英文版）

We estimate distributional implications of global food and oil price shocks by utilizing monthly panel data on consumption and income from India, and an IV strategy that removes variation coming from global demand shocks. While both shocks lead to st...

2025-09-19 0 4.47MB 79页
美联储：分裂：外国直接投资的碎片化（英文版）

Rising geopolitical tensions and supply chain vulnerabilities have driven recent fragmentation of foreign direct investment (FDI). This paper provides systematic evidence of FDI fragmentation along ideological and geographic lines across five dimensi...

2025-09-19 0 622.79KB 46页
美联储：扩大劳动力市场视角：两个新的欧元区劳动力指标（英文版）

We present a principal component analysis of euro area labor market conditions by combining information from 22 labor market indicators into two comprehensive series. These two novel indicators provide a systematic view of the current state and forwa...

2025-09-19 0 3.1MB 27页
美联储：区域演化的衰退形态：滞后因素（英文版）

This paper empirically investigates sources of hysteresis, focusing on downward nominal wage rigidity and the gender gap in the labor market, using U.S. state-level payroll employment data. Employing a Bayesian Markov-switching model of business cycl...

2025-09-19 0 1.2MB 50页
美联储：政策利率不确定性与货币市场基金（MMF）投资组合配置（英文版）

We find that an increase in policy rate uncertainty is associated with an increase in MMF portfolio allocations towards assets with shorter-dated maturities. We also find that the direction of uncertainty matters: MMF portfolio maturity is more sensi...

2025-09-19 0 973.31KB 38页
美联储：美联储回购操作和经销商中介（英文版）

We examine how primary dealers utilized repo operations conducted by the Federal Reserve from September 2019 until May 2020 and how usage affected dealer borrowing and lending. Using daily dealer-level supervisory data, we find that during normal mar...

2025-09-19 0 707.67KB 46页
美联储：定价尾部风险：2023年银行压力下的银行股权回报（英文版）

Did bank equity prices reflect growing sector imbalances before the 2023 failure of Silicon Valley Bank? We find that banks with higher reliance on uninsured deposits, or with higher marked-to-market leverage, had lower equity returns prior to SVB...

2025-09-19 0 853.16KB 26页
世界银行：撒哈拉以南非洲地区的社会情感技能：行为和自我报告测量的验证和比较（英文版）

This paper validates a new set of behavioral measures for socioemotional skills across three Sub-Saharan African countries—Côte d’Ivoire, Nigeria, and Tanzania—and compares them to widely used self-reported measures. The behavioral measures demonstra...

2025-09-19 1 8.61MB 62页
世界银行：早期预警覆盖率、接收决定因素和益处：调查可以告诉我们什么（英文版）

Early warning systems are a cornerstone of disaster risk reduction, enabling timely alerts and protective actions that save lives and reduce damages. Yet, despite their documented cost-effectiveness and potential to bolster resilience, early warning ...

2025-09-19 1 1.19MB 29页
世界银行：国际活动与女性劳动力参与：发展中国家服务企业的新证据（英文版）

Using a cross-section of more than 33,000 services firms in 104 low- and middle-income countries from the World Bank’s Enterprise Surveys, this paper examines whether the female labor share premium of international firms relative to non-international...

2025-09-19 3 1.75MB 47页
世界银行：货币贫困家庭的儿童：全球、区域和部分国家在消除儿童贫困方面的进展趋势（英文版）

This paper presents the first estimates of extreme child poverty and child poverty using the World Bank’s recently revised international poverty lines. Using the international poverty line of $3.00 per day and the higher $8.30 per day poverty line (b...

2025-09-19 7 1.93MB 29页
世界银行：命令和无法控制：评估公共部门的集中问责制（英文版）

A long-established and widely used approach to management in government has been the transmission of information up a hierarchy, and centralized decision-making and oversight; colloquially known as ‘command and control’. This paper examines accountab...

2025-09-19 0 3.29MB 71页
世界银行：超越营地和社区：孟加拉国难民搬迁的经济学（英文版）

Relocating refugees to remote purpose-built settlements offers an alternative to hosting refugees in traditional camps or local communities. Yet, its consequences remain poorly understood. This paper evaluates the well-being and fiscal implications o...

2025-09-19 0 1.63MB 56页
世界银行：超越粮食安全：优化加纳饮食转型中的可持续健康饮食（英文版）

This study examines the sustainability and healthiness of Ghana’s current dietary patterns and explores pathways for promoting sustainable healthy diets through agrifood policy interventions. Using secondary data from the Food and Agriculture Organiz...

2025-09-19 0 1.33MB 58页
世界银行：保护主义、逃避和家庭福利：来自尼日利亚进口禁令的证据（英文版）

This paper analyzes the welfare impacts of import bans in Nigeria, and how these are shaped by evasion. Bans were not effectively enforced, and contributed to informal trade. The imposition of bans nonetheless increased consumer prices by 5.8% on ave...

2025-09-19 0 4.58MB 61页
世界银行：战时人力资本投资：来自乌克兰的实验证据（英文版）

This paper provides insights into human capital investments during wartime by presenting evidence from three experiments of an online tutoring program for Ukrainian students amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Conducted between early 2023 and mid-2024...

2025-09-19 0 5.73MB 96页
世界银行：算法与官僚：来自塞内加尔税务审计选择的证据（英文版）

Can algorithms enhance the work of bureaucrats in developing countries? Developing economies are often data-poor environments, where individual bureaucrats have substantial discretion over key decisions, such as selecting taxpayers for audits. Exploi...

2025-09-19 0 2.77MB 104页
AMRO：使用人工智能预测联邦基金利率：LSTM、GRU和大型语言模型方法（英文版）

Forecasting the US federal funds rate is important since it impacts global financial conditions, and in turn the real economy. This working paper examines whether artificial intelligence (AI) models could forecast policy rates accurately by inferring...

2025-09-19 0 1.41MB 32页
世界银行：天气预报的经济价值：定量系统文献综述（英文版）

This study systematically reviews the literature that quantifies the economic benefits of weather observations and forecasts in four weather-dependent economic sectors: agriculture, energy, transport, and disaster-risk management. The review covers 1...

2025-09-18 0 4.33MB 115页

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