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欧洲央行：当心大震动！非参数结构性通货膨胀模型（英文版）

We propose a novel empirical structural inflation model that captures non-linear shock transmission using a Bayesian machine learning framework that combines VARs with non-linear structural factor models. Unlike traditional linear models, our approac...

2025-05-19 22 1.51MB 40页
欧洲央行：抵押贷款再融资与边际消费倾向（英文版）

This paper investigates the role of mortgage refinancing in shaping the estimates of marginal propensity to consume (MPC) and its implications for fiscal policy. Using U.S. household data, we find that MPCs decrease during the year of mortgage refina...

2025-05-19 18 3.3MB 59页
欧洲央行：银行贷款利率与欧元区家庭贷款风险（英文版）

I assess the impact of the recent hike in bank lending rates on euro area retail borrowers using a novel microsimulation framework that updates household-level data of a recent representative survey with up-to-date macro-financial information. The ke...

2025-05-19 20 2.06MB 29页
市值风云：2025年新茶饮江湖风云再起-洗牌、突围与未来之战！

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2025-05-17 20 1.12MB 11页
巴德学院利维经济研究所：增长与纪律：股票流动一致性模型中的意大利财政困境（英文版）

This paper investigates the implications of the European Union’s revised fiscal governance framework for Italy, a country facing the dual challenge of high public debt and persistent economic stagnation. Using a Stock-Flow Consistent (SFC) macroecono...

2025-05-16 18 732.72KB 50页
ADB亚洲开发银行：双刃剑：中小企业推广政策的意外后果（英文版）

This paper investigates the unintended consequences of size-dependent regulations in small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) promotion policies. We use data from all registered Thai firms to analyze the effects of introducing a revenue cap in the SME...

2025-05-16 25 757.96KB 35页
国际货币基金组织：安道尔：收入及其长期驱动因素（英文版）

Income in Andorra has stagnated in the last 50 years. Starting from a very high level compared to peers, it has not grown as fast, as investment and productivity have lagged behind. In this study, we analyze the dynamics of income growth in Andorra f...

2025-05-16 20 2.08MB 12页
国际货币基金组织：安道尔老龄化的财政影响：养老金和医疗保健系统改革（英文版）

Andorra has the highest life expectancy and the lowest fertility rate in Europe, resulting in one of the fastest-aging populations on the continent. This study assesses the long-term fiscal implications of demographic change for Andorra’s pension and...

2025-05-16 23 877.76KB 16页
Krungsri Research：供应链可持续性法律：泰国企业能否应对挑战？（英文版）

The EU’s Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), which formally came into effect on July 25, 2024, requires that large companies carry out comprehensive supply chain auditing to ensure that any risk of infringements to human rights ...

2025-05-16 34 877.8KB 25页
国际清算银行：德菲英引力？比特币、以太币和稳定币跨境流动的实证分析（英文版）

We investigate trends and drivers of cross-border flows of the two major native cryptoassets (Bitcoin and Ether) and the two major asset-backed stablecoins (Tether and USD Coin) between 184 countries from 2017 to 2024. These flows are substantial, pe...

2025-05-15 23 1.12MB 39页
美联储：完善无银行账户的定义（英文版）

We propose a new way to classify individuals without a bank account, accounting for their actual interest in being banked. Analogous to how unemployment statistics are defined and estimated, we differentiate the individuals that do not have a bank ac...

2025-05-15 26 638.71KB 18页
世界银行：现金为王：西非妇女现金转移对当地经济的影响（英文版）

This paper examines the direct and spillover effects of cash transfers paid in a rural and low-income setting. In the short run, an unconditional cash transfer program for ultra-poor households in Northern Nigeria led to a 12 percentage point increas...

2025-05-15 51 1.93MB 106页
世界银行：发展中经济体的劳动力市场恐慌：墨西哥工厂关闭带来的耻辱与人力资本损失（英文版）

This paper estimates the magnitude of labor market scarring in a developing economy, a setting that has been understudied by the labor scarring literature dominated by advanced economies. The paper assesses the contributions of “stigma” versus “lost ...

2025-05-15 50 1.2MB 35页
世界银行：创新金融工具及其在管辖REDD发展中的作用+（英文版）

Achieving global net zero carbon emissions requires stopping deforestation and making full use of tropical forests as carbon sinks. Market instruments for the sale and purchase of emission outcomes coming from Reducing Emissions from Deforestation an...

2025-05-15 57 1.15MB 35页
世界银行：使用geeLite R包从Google Earth引擎构建和管理本地数据库（英文版）

Google Earth Engine has transformed geospatial analysis by providing access to petabytes of satellite imagery and geospatial data, coupled with the substantial computational power required for in-depth analysis. This accessibility empowers scientists...

2025-05-15 90 4.27MB 27页
世界银行：主流多维贫困指标中固有的不正当激励的快速解决方案（英文版）

Most multidimensional poverty measures used in practice, including the global Multidimensional Poverty Index, are based on the adjusted headcount ratio. This paper shows that this poverty index provides perverse incentives. Policies that minimize thi...

2025-05-15 55 300.43KB 18页
世界银行：促进创新创业：来自突尼斯的准实验证据（英文版）

This paper evaluates Tunisia’s “Startup Act,” a policy initiative to foster innovative firms through a “start-up” label and a bundle of incentives, including reduced social security contributions, corporate tax exemptions, easier access to foreign ex...

2025-05-15 42 845.27KB 56页
世界银行：大规模模块化生态系统：理解数字时代复杂产业的框架（英文版）

The rapid evolution of the global economy, driven by digitization and modularization, has outpaced existing theoretical tools. This paper proposes a unified analytical framework for understanding the complexity of digital industries through the lens ...

2025-05-14 40 5.74MB 49页
世界银行：家访项目的成本、成本分担和成本驱动因素：巴西PADIN案例（英文版）

Home visiting programs have demonstrated potential for tackling early deficits in children’s cognitive, language, motor, and social-emotional skills, but little is known about their costs or how much the costs may vary across contexts. Using an ingre...

2025-05-14 38 2.22MB 45页
世界银行：减轻家庭征用对女性创业的影响：来自加纳的实验证据（英文版）

How do intrahousehold dynamics affect the investment of female entrepreneurs? This paper presents findings from a randomized controlled trial in Ghana that assesses the impacts of four alternative support mechanisms on women-owned businesses: (a) an ...

2025-05-14 54 2.11MB 48页

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