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国际清算银行：气候相关物理风险的供应链传递（英文版）

How do climate anomalies affect GDP growth, and how do trade connections help understand this impact? We address these questions exploring local fluctuations in temperature and precipitation coupled with data on supply chain linkages between municipa...

2025-04-23 6 1.26MB 43页
国际清算银行：让我们说同样的语言：一个正式定义的模型来描述和比较支付系统架构（英文版）

Proposals for new payment system architectures abound. To understand their opportunities and challenges, it is paramount to be able to describe and compare them in a consistent and standardised manner. This paper therefore proposes a formally defined...

2025-04-23 6 594.49KB 31页
江苏省氢能产业调研报告

本研究围绕江苏省氢能产业的发展现状、政策支持体系、产业链构建及重点企业案例展开深入分析，并探讨了氢能在新型电力系统中的协同作用及未来发展方向。江苏省作为中国经济发达省份，能源消费总量大，形成了以煤电为主、新能源快速发展的多元能源格局。截至 2024 年底，全省发电装机容量突破 2 亿千瓦，新能源装机占比超 40%。在“双碳”目标驱动下，江苏积极推动绿电交易和氢能产业发展，出台多项支持政策，初步构建了涵盖制氢、储运、应用的完整氢能产业链。本研究指出，江苏在氢能技术创新、产业集群建设及示...

2025-04-21 12 1.06MB 18页
决策中的生成模型：综述（英文版）

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2025-04-21 4 8.82MB 26页
国际货币基金组织：人工智能与欧洲生产力（英文版）

The discussion on Artificial Intelligence (AI) often centers around its impact on productivity, but macroeconomic evidence for Europe remains scarce. Using the Acemoglu (2024) approach we simulate the medium-term impact of AI adoption on total factor...

2025-04-18 10 956.84KB 38页
欧洲央行：央行改革是否会带来更多的货币纪律？（英文版）

This paper investigates the impact of reforms altering legal central bank independence (CBI) on monetary policy discipline and credibility, two key mechanisms shaping price stability. Using a sample of 155 countries over more than 50 years (1972–2023...

2025-04-18 7 2.95MB 53页
世界银行：银行业的转型风险（英文版）

The transition to a net-zero economy presents significant social and economic challenges, particularly for industries and regions reliant on high-carbon activities, hence the need for a just transition. This paper examines exposure to just transition...

2025-04-18 21 740.26KB 38页
国际货币基金组织：在高通胀时期，引导价格与金融稳定之间的权衡（英文版）

Trade-offs between price and financial stability can occur when inflation is above target andfinancial stress is rising. Use of central bank liquidity tools and other financial stability policies may, under somecircumstances, allow central banks to m...

2025-04-17 12 3.56MB 5页
国际清算银行：消费者在家庭调查中如何准确地报告其债务？

本文在先前研究的基础上进一步发展,通过结合智利家庭金融调查中个体借款人的代表性样本及其银行贷款记录进行独特匹配。我发现，调查结果与信用登记系统不同，不仅在报告的贷款数量上有所差异，而且在贷款金额上存在显著异质性。调查受访者能够准确报告违约状态。此外，很大一部分差异可以归因于调查答案中的舍入误差。最后，我发现当受访者不是家庭中收入最高成员时，差异更大。...

2025-04-17 9 978.74KB 47页
国际货币基金组织：人工智能的全球影响：关注差距（英文版）

This paper examines the uneven global impact of AI, highlighting how its effects will be a function of (i) countries’ sectoral exposure to AI, (ii) their preparedness to integrate these technologies into their economies, and (iii) their access to e...

2025-04-16 7 817.85KB 33页
欧洲经济政策研究所：移民对发达国家的影响：来自近期经济研究的见解（英文版）

Immigrants currently account for 3.3% of the world’s population. We know that migration is demographically important, but what are its implications for the labour market, public finance and political landscape? To answer these questions, this report ...

2025-04-16 6 996.75KB 49页
欧洲经济政策研究所：英国脱欧对欧洲经济的影响（英文版）

On 29 March 2017, the United Kingdom (UK) Government notified its exit to the EU in accordance with Article 50 of the EU Treaty.1 Brexit is therefore officially initiated. On 29 April, the Heads of State and Government of the European Council adopted...

2025-04-16 7 563.49KB 42页
欧洲经济政策研究所：欧元区冲击的性质及其吸收渠道（英文版）

We investigate the degree of (a)symmetry of macroeconomic fluctuations within the euro area (EA). Our findings indicate, first, a high degree of co-movement of cyclical GDP across EA member states. However, the amplitudes of national business cycles ...

2025-04-16 11 2.42MB 30页
欧洲经济政策研究所：德国经常账户盈余：它来自哪里，是否有害，以及德国是否应该采取行动？（英文版）

In the international economic policy debate Germany is criticized heavily for its current account surplus. This paper describes the factors that have led to the surplus and discusses the policy implications. The current account surplus is mainly a re...

2025-04-16 10 521.78KB 14页
欧洲经济政策研究所：欧元区的未来财政治理报告（英文版）

This paper discusses various options for reforming fiscal governance in the Eurozone. We focus on two possible reform approaches referred to as the ‘Maastricht model’ and the ‘US model’. The Maastricht model implies that ultimate responsibility for e...

2025-04-16 5 322.66KB 21页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：英国地方当局的小区域消费估算（英文版）

In this paper, we estimate average equivalised consumption measures across local authority districts in Great Britain. We use small-area estimation methods that combine information from a household budget survey, a much larger survey of local demogra...

2025-04-16 6 6.2MB 30页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：主观预期与避孕需求（英文版）

t One-quarter of married, fertile-age women in Sub-Saharan Africa report not wanting a pregnancy and yet do not practice contraception. We collect detailed data on the subjective beliefs of married, adult women not wanting a pregnancy and estimate a ...

2025-04-16 3 847.81KB 122页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：当职业劳动力供应异质化时，劳动力需求冲击的影响（英文版）

As technological advances accelerate and labour demands shift, the ability of workers to reallocate across occupations will be crucial for shaping labour market dynamics, inequality, and effective policy design. In this paper, we develop a tractable ...

2025-04-16 7 2.16MB 119页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：昂贵的关注和退休（英文版）

In UK data, I document the prevalence of misbeliefs regarding the State Pension eligibility age (SPA) and these misbeliefs’ predictivity of retirement. Exploiting policy variation, I estimate a lifecycle model of retirement in which rationally inatte...

2025-04-16 5 955.09KB 46页
代铁琳：超材料的智能设计研究进展

超材料是一种人工合成材料, 其结构经过精心设计和精密控制, 表现出不同于自然材料的特殊性能, 这些具有独特功能的超材料在光学、电磁学、声学、力学等领域具有重要的应用价值. 然而, 传统的超材料设计通常依赖于人工经验, 导致设计周期长, 缺乏灵活性和可调性, 难以实现大规模快速设计与量产. 高效设计与性能调控超材料已成为 CAD、机械工程和材料科学的重要研究方向. 近年来, 随着人工智能算法的快速发展, 智能算法在超材料设计领域中的应用越来越广泛, 展现出高效优化、生成多样性结构、缩短设计...

2025-04-15 9 2.76MB 25页

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