开通会员限时优惠

登录 | 注册

全部分类

学术论文

类型:

英国财政研究所（IFS）：关注和退休成本（英文版）

In UK data, I document the prevalence of misbeliefs regarding the State Pension eligibility age (SPA) and these misbeliefs predictivity of retirement. Exploiting policy variation, I estimate a lifecycle model of retirement in which rationally inatten...

2025-03-04 29 891.38KB 41页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：逃税和缴款-福利联系产妇福利案例（英文版）

This paper studies tax evasion and the contribution-benefit link in the context of maternity benefits in Hungary. Earnings and employment patterns suggest pre-pregnancy underreporting, followed by formalization of some earnings and employment during ...

2025-03-04 30 1.08MB 34页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：坚实的质量和健康维护（英文版）

We estimate the impact of firm quality – primarily measured by firm productivity – on the health maintenance of employees. Using linked employer-employee administrative panel data from Hungary, we analyze the dynamics of healthcare use before and aft...

2025-03-04 32 1.02MB 40页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：个体福利分析随机准线性效用、独立性和信任界限（英文版）

We introduce a novel framework for individual-level welfare analysis. It builds on a parametric model for continuous demand with a quasilinear utility function, allowing for heterogeneous coefficients and unobserved individual-good-level preference s...

2025-03-04 26 641.47KB 58页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：用广义的比伦斯最大统计量对条件矩限制确定的参数的推断（英文版）

Many economic panel and dynamic models, such as rational behavior and Euler equations, imply that the parameters of interest are identified by conditional moment restrictions. We introduce a novel inference method without any prior information about ...

2025-03-04 27 899.5KB 54页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：基于经验福利最大化的时间序列中的政策选择（英文版）

This paper develops a novel method for policy choice in a dynamic setting where the available data is a multi-variate time series. Building on the statistical treatment choice framework, we propose Time-series Empirical Welfare Maximization (T-EWM) m...

2025-03-04 27 3.22MB 88页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：在具有交互式固定效果的面板中进行强有力的估计和推断（英文版）

This paper develops a novel method for policy choice in a dynamic setting where the available data is a multi-variate time series. Building on the statistical treatment choice framework, we propose Time-series Empirical Welfare Maximization (T-EWM) m...

2025-03-04 25 3.22MB 88页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：具有目标工具的治疗效果（英文版）

Multivalued treatments are commonplace in applications. We explore the use of discrete-valued instruments to control for selection bias in this setting. Our discussion revolves around the concept of targeting: which instruments target which treatment...

2025-03-04 17 639.3KB 67页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：从差异中学习说服的效果（英文版）

The persuasion rate is a key parameter for measuring the causal effect of a directional message on influencing the recipient’s behavior. Its identification has relied on exogenous treatment or the availability of credible instruments, but the require...

2025-03-04 27 665.98KB 66页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：犯罪网络中的溢出行为共同犯罪者死亡的证据（英文版）

We study spillover eects within criminal networks by leveraging the deaths of co-oenders as a source of causal identi cation. We nd that the death of a co-oender signi cantly reduces the criminal activities of other network members. These spillover ...

2025-03-04 38 867.02KB 47页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：婚姻分类的变化美国的理论和证据（英文版）

Positive assortative matching refers to the tendency of individuals with similar characteristics to form partnerships. Measuring the extent to which assortative matching differs between two economies is challenging when the marginal distributions of ...

2025-03-04 30 1.27MB 51页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：感觉到的冲击和冲动反应（英文版）

This paper develops a novel approach that leverages the information contained in expectations datasets to derive empirical measures of beliefs regarding economic shocks and their dynamic effects. Utilizing a panel of expectation revisions for a singl...

2025-03-04 25 1.11MB 53页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：资源意外收入、公共支出和地方经济（英文版）

We use plausibly exogenous variation in the redistribution of natural resource tax revenues in Peru to study whether transfers to local governments can stimulate economic activity in lowincome areas. We show that resource windfalls to non-extractive ...

2025-03-04 21 4.24MB 75页
加拿大国际治理创新中心（CIGI）：一代大赦国际、民主和人权（英文版）

isinformation is not new, but given how disinformation campaigns are constructed, there is almost no stage that will not be rendered more effective by the use of generative artificial intelligence (AI). Given the unsatisfactory nature of current tool...

2025-03-04 24 334.41KB 14页
微软&卡内基梅隆大学：生成式人工智能对批判性思维的影响调查（英文版）

The rise of Generative AI (GenAI) in knowledge workflows raises questions about its impact on critical thinking skills and practices. We survey 319 knowledge workers to investigate 1) when and how they perceive the enaction of critical thinking when ...

2025-03-03 73 998.69KB 23页
阿斯彭研究所：回忆越战：悲剧、教训与非常规和平力量（英文版）

...

2025-03-03 23 610.24KB 11页
国际货币基金组织：沙堡与金融体系：沙堆隐喻（英文版）

Social welfare costs from bank resolution, including contagion and moral hazard, are often thought to be minimized when supervisors can direct the merger of a failing bank with a sound, healthy one. However, social losses may become even larger if t...

2025-02-28 31 2.41MB 45页
国际货币基金组织：深度一体化的经济效益：2004年欧盟扩大20年后（英文版）

EU enlargement has stalled since the last member joined over ten years ago, marking the longest period without expansion since 1973. This elapsed time contrasts with the potential income gains membership promises. Drawing on the biggest EU enlargem...

2025-02-28 37 1.07MB 21页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：支付弱势青少年上学的短期和长期影响（英文版）

We evaluate the short- and long-run effects of a large conditional cash transfer program that paid students to remain in full-time education beyond the compulsory school-leaving age. The Education Maintenance Allowance paid teenagers from low-income ...

2025-02-27 45 679.69KB 55页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：想象一下你25岁的生活：性别一致性和后期生活的结果（英文版）

Using thousands of essays written by 11-year-olds in 1969, we construct an index measuring girls’ conformity to gender norms. We link this index to outcomes over the life-cycle. Conditional on age-11 covariates, a one standard deviation increase in o...

2025-02-27 24 3.35MB 73页

...

62

...

确认删除?