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世界银行：支持南非城镇的小规模微型创业（英文版）

Drawing on qualitative data from 11 key informants and 75 small-scale firm owners in South Africa’s townships, this paper identifies five factors shaping micro-entrepreneurial success. First, micro-entrepreneurship often begins as employment of last ...

2026-05-15 0 966.01KB 40页
世界银行：关税、生产率和资源分配不当（英文版）

This paper documents a strong empirical link between trade protection and the misallocation of capital among import-competing domestic firms. Using a decade of tax administrative data from South Africa, the different sources of capital dispersion in ...

2026-05-15 0 860.98KB 25页
世界银行：利用价格激励来限制按需付费太阳能发电的福利（英文版）

Non-price barriers suppress demand at the adoption margin, complicating efforts to quantify the welfare effects of rural electrification. This paper studies demand for pay-as-you-go (PAYGo) solar electricity using a randomized experiment with 800 exi...

2026-05-15 0 1.87MB 68页
世界银行：人工智能与土耳其劳动力市场调整：来自LinkedIn数据的证据（英文版）

This paper examines how artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping Türkiye’s labor market by documenting patterns in skill supply, employer demand, and labor market adjustment using highfrequency digital labor market indicators from LinkedIn. The anal...

2026-05-15 0 1.95MB 60页
世界银行：职业流动与绿色转型：南亚技能投资需求的程式化估算（英文版）

This paper estimates the share of green employment in seven South Asian countries using an O*NET-based definition and finds that, on average, 24 percent of jobs in the region are currently green. The paper then assesses the potential for non-green wo...

2026-05-15 0 1.08MB 87页
欧洲央行：理解欧盟银行业资本框架

本文描述和评估了欧盟(EU)银行业资本框架，重点关注巴塞尔银行监管委员会设定的国际标准在欧盟内部的实施情况。利用单一监管机制(SSM)下重要机构的微观监管数据，我们量化了欧盟特定监管选择、监管措施和宏观审慎政策对资本的影响。我们发现，大多数欧盟资本要求源自巴塞尔标准，这些标准既包括规定性的"第一支柱”组成部分，也包括预期在司法管辖层面设计和校准的要素。文章描述了自SSM启动以来资本比率和要求的演变，并讨论了资本水平变化与银行业绩指标之间的关系。为了提供比较视角，基于模型的反事实练习比较...

2026-05-15 0 2.4MB 52页
国际货币基金组织：灾后国际货币基金组织融资的宏观财政影响：来自综合控制方法的证据（英文版）

The IMF provides macro-stabilizing liquidity when others cannot. The IMF has developed a set of instruments designed to provide rapid financial assistance to countries facing urgent balance of payments needs without requiring a full-fledged economic ...

2026-05-14 0 1.33MB 32页
国际货币基金组织：预算支持在增长和调整中的作用：来自100个国际货币基金组织支持的低收入国家项目的证据（英文版）

The use of IMF credit for budgetary financing (budget support) has surged in Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangements with low-income countries (LICs) post pandemic, yet its role in growth and adjustment remains understudied. This paper provides t...

2026-05-14 0 5.33MB 64页
国际货币基金组织：搜索摩擦下的资本滞留、就业创造和技能供给（英文版）

There has been renewed interest in revitalizing manufacturing, yet policy often confronts a circular challenge: firms hesitate to expand because they cannot reliably find suitably skilled workers (e.g., STEM-trained), while workers are reluctant to a...

2026-05-14 0 1.34MB 43页
国际货币基金组织：拉丁美洲的财政分权和周期性：来自新区域预算数据库的证据（英文版）

Using a newly constructed database of highly granular regional-level budgets, this paper documents the growing relevance of regional governments in Latin America over the past three decades and evaluates the implications for fiscal cyclicality. We fi...

2026-05-14 0 1.43MB 38页
世界银行：女性劳动力参与和性别规范：阿拉伯埃及共和国的机器学习分析（英文版）

This paper addresses two gaps in the female labor force participation literature: the integrated analysis of individual, household, community, and national determinants, and the use of machine learning techniques to capture nonlinear dynamics. Using ...

2026-05-14 0 829.16KB 25页
Weizenbaum Institute：自动化与工作：质性视角下的审视（英文版）

This paper presents a systematic literature review of qualitative empirical studies on the automation of work published between 2000 and 2024. It addresses three central questions: (1) What are the key findings of qualitative research on the outcomes...

2026-05-13 5 748.36KB 35页
世界银行：温室气体排放的贫困成本

经济增长是减贫的关键驱动力。同时，经济增长仍然会增加温室气体排放，预计这将导致未来贫困加剧。为了量化这两种机制的综合影响，本文提出了排放调整贫困这是一种新的衡量标准，它将一个国家的贫困与该国排放所创造的全球未来贫困相加。当该国内部消除贫困并且排放达到净零时，这一指标达到零。其关键参数是一个以人为中心的碳的社会成本的对立面，量化当前排放如何提高未来的全球贫困。...

2026-05-13 0 2.57MB 23页
“双碳”目标下复合型治理的系统集成与路径创新

以广东省江门市为研究案例，分析“双碳”目标下多维度治理资源的整合机制与实践逻辑，探索复合型治理的逻辑与实践路径。研究发现：江门市通过“政策协同—市场激活—技术赋能”的路径，构建了多层次治理体系：（1）以制度复合性突破部门壁垒，通过跨层级政策整合锚定低碳目标，依托动态责任分解与绩效评估形成闭环管理；（2）以工具复合性驱动资源整合，创新市场激励机制，激活企业低碳转型与社会参与动力；（3）以技术复合性强化系统协同，搭建数字化监管平台推动政企社数据共享，实现碳排放精准监测与动态反馈。研...

2026-05-13 35 1.81MB 19页
杨红强：生态文明建设、林业碳汇CCER与绿色转型

发展林业碳汇CCER是中国推动生态文明建设和经济社会发展全面绿色转型的重要举措。采用政策文本分析与归纳综述方法,系统梳理生态文明建设进展与中国碳市场演进格局,明确林业碳汇 CCER在自愿市场中的地位与挑战,并探讨其推动经济社会发展全面绿色转型的作用路径。研究发现:从党的十八大到二十大,生态文明理念向绿色实践转化已成为重要战略任务,亟须提升林业等非控排领域的碳汇贡献;中国碳市场逐渐形成强制与自愿协同体系,为绿色低碳转型提供了实践路径, CET市场为重点行业提供减排机制,CCER市场则有助于增...

2026-05-11 0 1.67MB 12页
DeepSeek-V4：迈向高效百万级标记上下文智能（英文版）

We present a preview version of DeepSeek-V4 series, including two strong Mixture-of Experts (MoE) language models — DeepSeek-V4-Pro with 1.6T parameters (49B activated) and DeepSeek-V4-Flash with 284B parameters (13B activated) — both supporting a co...

2026-05-11 0 4.45MB 58页
湖北省气象服务中心：极端天气对风电开发全过程的影响及应对策略

碳中和、碳达峰系列政策的实施，推动了风电这一清洁能源的快速发展。近年来，极端天气气候事件频发，随着风电大规模投产并网，极端天气导致的风电场气象灾害问题愈加凸显。极端天气不仅给风电开发带来了严峻挑战，还可能对电网稳定性和供电可靠性造成影响，因此，需要深入了解极端天气对风电开发的影响机理，采取有效预防和应对措施，确保风电行业健康安全发展。[方法]通过梳理近期发表的风电气象灾害相关文献，文章将影响风电开发的高影响天气分成了极端天气和不良天气 2 大类，归纳总结了台风、大风、雷电、暴雨、沙尘暴、...

2026-05-07 0 3.96MB 14页
国际货币基金组织：太平洋岛国的气候融资和适应需求（英文版）

: Pacific Island Countries (PICs) face acute and rising climate adaptation needs due to high exposure to sea‑level rise, natural disasters, and structural vulnerabilities associated with small size and geographic remoteness. This paper develops a uni...

2026-05-07 0 819.28KB 38页
国际货币基金组织：银行贷款、贸易信贷与出口价格：来自中国汇率冲击的证据（英文版）

This paper examines the impact of trade credit and bank loans on firms’ exchange rate passthrough. Using a comprehensive dataset combining customs transaction records and balance sheet data for Chinese exporters during 2000–2011, we document that fir...

2026-05-07 0 2.54MB 63页
国际货币基金组织：斯洛文尼亚的劳动生产率：无形投资的作用是什么？（英文版）

Slovenia’s labor productivity growth has slowed since the late 2000s, weakening the country’s prospects of catching up with more advanced EU members. In addition to the gap in business investment, the composition of investment is also important as in...

2026-05-07 0 1.3MB 14页

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