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国际清算银行：生成性人工智能的兴起：对美国劳动力市场的暴露、替代和不平等效应进行建模（英文版）

How exposed is the labour market to ever-advancing Al capabilities, to what extentdoes this substitute human labour, and how will it affect inequality? We address thesequestions in a simulation of 7ll US occupations classified by the importance and l...

2024-09-11 69 4.12MB 40页
世界银行：通过整合调查和地理空间数据对四个西非国家的贫困进行小面积估算（英文版）

The paper presents a methodology to generate experimental small area estimates of poverty in four West African countries: Chad, Guinea, Mali, and Niger. Due to the absence of recent census data in these countries, household-level survey data are inte...

2024-09-11 113 1.81MB 33页
世界银行：维持贫困收益：指导社会登记扩展的脆弱性地图（英文版）

Poverty maps are a useful tool for targeting social programs on areas with high concentrations of poverty. However, a static focus on poverty ignores its temporal dimension. Thus, current nonpoor households still face substantial welfare volatility a...

2024-09-11 85 1.2MB 30页
世界银行：远程办公的主要决定因素及其在女性劳动力参与中的作用（英文版）

This paper studies telework as an opportunity to increase women’s labor force participation in Mexico. Using data on the availability and use of information technology in households, the paper models women’s labor force participation and worksite cho...

2024-09-11 63 717.67KB 26页
国际清算银行：生成性人工智能与劳动生产率：编码的现场实验（英文版）

In this paper we examine the effects of generative artificial intelligence (gen AI) on labour productivity. In September 2023, Ant Group introduced CodeFuse, a large language model (LLM) designed to assist programmer teams with coding. While one grou...

2024-09-11 71 514.96KB 18页
世界银行：中国的财政政策如何再分配？税收和支出分配影响的新证据（英文版）

How redistributive are fiscal policies in China? This paper applies the standard fiscal incidence analysis to data from the China Family Panel Study 2018 to study the effect of government taxes and spending on inequality in China. The analysis includ...

2024-09-11 122 1.34MB 41页
欧洲央行：家庭偏见有偏见吗？投资基金行业的新证据（英文版）

Investment funds hold a disproportionately larger fraction of domestic relative to foreign stocks. Stock market development and familiarity (language and distance) are considered key determinants for home bias. The literature neglects however that in...

2024-09-10 32 1.88MB 54页
彼得森经济研究所：布雷顿森林体系80年后的经济多边主义（英文版）

The global economic institutions that grew from the Bretton Woods conference of 1944 aimed to create a cooperative policy environment conducive to recovery, development, continuing prosperity, social stability, and democracy. Prominent in the minds o...

2024-09-10 41 725.54KB 33页
世界银行：社区驱动发展的学习议程：应对复杂的情境、评估和推理挑战（英文版）

Governments and nongovernmental organizations around the world utilize Community-Driven Development (CDD) approaches to address complex and overlapping development challenges. Despite consistent evidence on some impacts of CDD—especially improvements...

2024-09-10 74 743.96KB 44页
Rand兰德：关于医疗保健获取的三篇论文（英文版）

Government health programs must balance maximizing access and controlling costs while considering equity, geographic variation, and resource constraints. Health care reforms, whether for payment systems, quality measures, or new technologies, can sig...

2024-09-10 936 7.09MB 131页
粮食系统营养干预：非洲和南亚六项方案评估的经验教训（英文版）

Although there is growing global momentum behind food systems strategies to improve planetary and human health—including nutrition—there is limited evidence of what types of food systems interventions work. Evaluating these types of interventions is ...

2024-09-09 52 813.21KB 12页
英国国家经济和社会研究所：内生违约、风险价值与商业周期（英文版）

I propose a general equilibrium model with endogenous defaults and a banking sector operating under a Value-at-Risk constraint. Analytical examination reveals that (a) the Value-at-Risk rule introduces a risk premium on bank lending, (b) this risk pr...

2024-09-09 87 1.2MB 65页
中国国际关系理论创新的哲学考察——以库恩范式革命为视角

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2024-09-07 72 1.01MB 6页
欧洲央行：中央银行数字货币交易需求（英文版）

We shed light on the demand for a central bank digital currency (CBDC) as a means of payment, based on survey payment data. We provide a quantitative framework to assess transactional demand for CBDC at the point of sale, accommodating a wide range o...

2024-09-06 65 2.56MB 73页
欧洲央行：数字欧元保障-保护银行业的金融稳定和流动性（英文版）

A digital euro would provide the general public with an additional means of payment in the form of risk-free central bank money in digital form that is universally accepted for digital payments across the euro area. A digital euro would offer a wide ...

2024-09-06 84 486.99KB 21页
欧洲央行：没有（和有）价格粘性的货币计量（英文版）

The evidence suggests that monetary policy transmission is asymmetric over the business cycle. Interacting financing frictions with a preference for liquidity provides an explanation for this fact. Our mechanism generates monetary asymmetries in a mo...

2024-09-06 74 1.46MB 83页
欧洲央行：利用高频扫描仪数据预测消费者价格上涨：来自德国的证据（英文版）

We study how millions of granular and weekly household scanner data combined with machine learning can help to improve the real-time nowcast of German inflation. Our nowcasting exercise targets three hierarchy levels of inflation: individual products...

2024-09-06 64 5.06MB 72页
欧洲央行：分解系统性风险：传染和常见暴露的作用（英文版）

We evaluate the effects of contagion and common exposure on banks’ capital through a regression design inspired by the structural VAR literature and derived from the balance sheet identity. Contagion can occur through direct exposures, fire sales, an...

2024-09-06 78 3.72MB 39页
世界银行：为绿色转型设计技能政策时，为什么要考虑任务？关于如何识别绿色职业及其所需技能的方法论说明（英文版）

The coexistence of several definitions of green jobs and measurement instruments gives room for mismatches between those concepts and their application to research questions. This paper first presents an organizing framework for the existing definiti...

2024-09-06 143 1.71MB 53页
世界银行：软技能、竞争和雇佣歧视（英文版）

This paper conducts a correspondence study to assess demand for soft skills in the context of hiring discrimination in Malaysia. No evidence of gender-based discrimination is found, including in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics occup...

2024-09-06 115 549.11KB 53页

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