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欧洲央行：2023年欧元区银行体系宏观审慎压力测试（英文版）

This paper presents the updated macroprudential stress test for the euro area banking system, comprising around 100 of the largest euro area credit institutions across 19 countries. The approach involves modelling banks’ reactions to changing economi...

2024-09-03 62 1014.63KB 33页
美联储：个人所得税的变化与财务状况：来自减税和就业法案的证据（英文版）

We estimate the effects of personal income tax decreases on financial well-being, including qualitative subjective assessments and quantitative measures. A plausibly causal design shows that tax decreases in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act made survey resp...

2024-09-03 50 1.04MB 50页
国际清算银行：全球通货膨胀六十年：全球金融危机后的最新情况（英文版）

Is inflation (still) a global phenomenon? We study the international co-movement of inflation based on a dynamic factor model and in a sample spanning up to 56 countries during the 1960-2023 period. Over the entire period, a first global factor expla...

2024-09-03 66 568.01KB 35页
国际清算银行：没什么好隐瞒的吗？共享数据意愿方面的性别和年龄差异（英文版）

Many digital applications rely on the willingness of users to voluntarily share personal data. Yet some users are more comfortable sharing data than others. To document these differences, we draw on questions to a representative sample of U.S. househ...

2024-09-03 72 337.47KB 36页
国际清算银行：大海捞针：一种用于支付系统异常检测的机器学习框架（英文版）

We propose a flexible machine learning (ML) framework for real-time transaction monitoring in high-value payment systems (HVPS), which are a central piece of a country’s financial infrastructure. This framework can be used by system operators and ove...

2024-09-03 64 2.18MB 33页
欧洲央行：用于财务稳定性应用的压力测试方法的进展（英文版）

This paper provides an overview of stress-testing methodologies in Europe, with a focus on theadvancements made by the European Central Bank's Financial Stability Committee Working Group onStress Testing (WGST). Over a four-year period, the WGST ...

2024-09-03 78 4.16MB 100页
欧洲央行：气候变化的全球化：通过投入产出链放大与气候相关的物理风险（英文版）

While global supply chains have recently gained attention in the context of the Covid-related crisis as well as the war in Ukraine, their role in transmitting and amplifying climate-related physical risks across countries has received surprisingly li...

2024-09-03 44 2.14MB 35页
欧洲央行：家庭通胀预期：近期货币政策见解综述（英文版）

This paper discusses the recent wave of research that has emphasized the importance of measures of consumers’ inflation expectations. In contrast to other measures of expected inflation, such as for experts or financial market participants, consumers...

2024-09-03 65 1.7MB 66页
新经济思想研究所-特朗普与拜登：第二次大选的宏观经济学（英文版）

The wafer-thin poll margins separating President Joe Biden and Donald Trump have surprised and baffled many analysts. This paper attempts no analysis of the election itself. It focuses instead on a clinical assessment of its macroeconomic context. Bu...

2024-09-03 101 1.25MB 105页
未来能源研究所：适应气候变化的渔业管理系统（英文版）

Climate change is expected to increase short-run shocks and extreme events in oceanic conditions. Fishery managers are considering how to design climate-ready systems that enable fishers and fishing communities to adapt to these events without jeopar...

2024-09-03 90 902.21KB 44页
钱币学视角下的希腊化世界的王位传承与嬗递——对巴克特里亚王国中早期历史的再审视（下）

...

2024-09-02 32 2.54MB 15页
彼得森经济研究所：解决英国地区经济不平等问题：约束性约束和政策干预途径（英文版）

We analyze binding constraints to productivity growth in the United Kingdom’s regions outside London and the greater South East. These analyses challenge a number of common arguments about the UK’s regional economic inequality problem. We find little...

2024-09-02 42 6.58MB 62页
世界银行：中国农村移民、增长与减贫：回顾与展望（英文版）

Rural-to-urban migration in China has transformed the lives of millions of rural residents. This paper reviews empirical evidence on the impacts of migration on the welfare of individuals and households in rural communities. After first discussing th...

2024-09-02 94 970.06KB 50页
世界银行：投入补贴、灌溉投资和社会现金转移对马拉维粮食和营养安全的比较影响（英文版）

This study examines the impact of farm input subsidies, food and cash transfers, and irrigation investments on the dietary diversity, food consumption scores, and coping strategy index in Malawi. Despite the potential for synergies to address a range...

2024-09-02 56 1.23MB 51页
世界银行：是什么推动了公民对国家机构的信任？摩洛哥基于过程和结果的信任的大规模调查证据（英文版）

What drives citizen’s trust in state institutions? There are longstanding debates on the pathways towards institutional trust: is trust driven by citizen’s perceptions of policy outcomes or by their perceptions of the integrity and credibility of pol...

2024-09-02 69 766.3KB 36页
世界银行：生产网络与企业级替代弹性（英文版）

This paper provides one of the first estimates of elasticities of substitution across suppliers within the same product. This paper estimates these elasticities using new real-time administrative tax data on firm-to-firm transactions, with product-le...

2024-09-02 67 2.43MB 80页
美联储：危机后的中央银行（英文版）

The world economy has experienced the largest financial crisis in generations, a global pandemic, and a resurgence in inflation during the first quarter of the 21st century, yielding important insights for central banking. Price stability has importa...

2024-09-02 69 1.86MB 68页
欧洲央行：能源价格冲击、货币政策和不平等（英文版）

We study how monetary policy shapes the aggregate and distributional effects of an energy price shock. Based on the observed heterogeneity in consumption exposures to energy and household wealth, we build a quantitative small open-economy HANK model ...

2024-08-30 60 1.56MB 51页
国际货币基金组织：撒哈拉以南非洲的生产能力、经济脆弱性和增长波动（英文版）

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries, like most developing countries, face major challenges to achieve strong, sustainable, and inclusive growth with the view to reduce significantly persistent poverty and inequality. Many of these challenges results f...

2024-08-30 54 2.24MB 46页
麦肯锡：2024年什么是云计算？（英文版）

Remember when computers were big, hulking objects that dominated the office? Maybe you don’t; many digital natives learned to type on svelte laptops, not clunky, plug-in ergonomic keyboards. Here’s a little history: when they were first put into use,...

2024-08-30 1148 229KB 9页

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