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国际清算银行：碳密集型能源价格变化的宏观经济效应：模型比较（英文版）

We present a novel model comparison to examine the challenges that changes in carbon-intensive energy prices pose for monetary policy. Our study focuses on the macroeconomic effects and monetary policy implications of both temporary and permanent car...

2025-12-11 13 3.73MB 49页
从4个非洲电力可及国际倡议的文本看其政策逻辑与设计框

本文系统梳理4个非洲电力可及国际倡议的文本，以期为其他对非发展项目设计电力可及目标、开展行动部署和动员有效资金提供有益借鉴。 ▪ 分析发现，4个案例倡议都提出电力装机容量、电力接入点数量、惠及人口数量、人均年用电量等量化目标。按照时间顺序，各倡议的人均年用电量目标从146千瓦时提高到730千瓦时，已经高于世界银行电力可及5级标准人均每年用电598.6千瓦时的水平，但尚未达到全球人均年用电量平均水平的一半。 ▪ 本文所选4个案例倡议目标中没有环境、公平等要素，但在目标落实的监督考核体...

2025-12-10 11 1.39MB 20页
物流领域机器人与自动化投资回报率（英文版）

The global logistics industry is undergoing a transformative shift, propelled by the rapidintegration of robotics and automation technologies. These innovations promise enhancedoperational efficiency, reduced labor costs, improved accuracy, and faste...

2025-12-09 11 236.9KB 8页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：公众对人工智能的担忧在翻译中被忽视（英文版）

Artificial intelligence (AI) is playing an increasingly important role in people’s lives, which has led to growing calls for AI regulation. Although the public has strong opinions on AI, getting policy makers to listen often leads to citizens’ concer...

2025-12-08 10 2.27MB 24页
熊春琳：农村产业融合对农业碳排放的影响研究-基于双重机器学习的因果推断

农村产业融合是实现农业增效农民增收的重要途径，其经济效益已获广泛认可，但其生态效益，尤其是对农业碳排放的影响尚存争议。科学揭示农村产业融合的碳排放效应，对于推动农业低碳高质发展和服务国家“双碳”战略具有重要现实意义。[方法]文章基于 2010-2022年中国30个省份的面板数据，从生产函数曲线视角切入，结合帕累托改进与索洛技术创新理论，构建农村产业融合通过“资源配置一效率提升”驱动农业碳减排的理论路径，并采用双重机器学习模型进行实证检验。[结果]研究发现:农村产业融合对农业碳排放具有显著的抑制作...

2025-12-08 11 1.26MB 19页
国际货币基金组织：新出现的气候和能源转型问题（英文版）

This chapter examines two key challenges for the Netherlands: distributional impacts of EU ETS reforms and the fiscal, environmental and power sector effects of road transport electrification. Expanded carbon pricing through ETS2 and CBAM affects hou...

2025-12-05 17 1.26MB 25页
纽约联储：财产保险经济学（英文版）

We study the economics of homeowners’ property insurance by examining how contract design balances the trade-off between incentive alignment and risk sharing. Using granular contract-level property insurance data merged with property-level disaster r...

2025-12-05 20 5.03MB 55页
AMRO：人工智能代理能击中移动目标吗？（英文版）

Policymakers face challenges in understanding economic agent behavior during structural transformations, where traditional rational expectations (RE) models often struggle to capture the complexities of adaptive decision-making. This research explore...

2025-12-05 15 1.35MB 42页
黄金：拥趸、熊市与迷思（英文版）

Gold prices today are near record highs - even in real terms - implying that forward real returns may be modest by historical standards (Figure 1). Yet gold's most compelling attribute remains its historically proven ability to enhance portfolio ...

2025-12-05 12 4.81MB 13页
国际清算银行：当砖块与字节相遇：代币化是否填补了传统房地产市场的空白？（英文版）

Using novel US data from multiple platforms over 2019–25, I show that real estate tokenisation fills gaps in traditional markets. The supply of tokenised real estate is driven by pricing, demand, liquidity and supply in the physical property market. ...

2025-12-04 11 3.08MB 54页
国际清算银行：环境因素和流向新兴市场的资本（英文版）

This paper examines the impact of environmental factors on international capital flows – specifically portfolio, bank, and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows – to emerging market economies (EMEs). Using two complementary approaches, we first ana...

2025-12-04 13 2.18MB 24页
国际清算银行：让suptech发挥作用：关于采用的关键驱动因素的证据（英文版）

This paper examines the institutional drivers of adopting supervisory technology (suptech) by financial authorities worldwide. Using survey data from 112 financial authorities across 97 countries from the State of SupTech Report, we analyse how organ...

2025-12-04 13 787.85KB 43页
国际清算银行：支付系统中用于现金管理的AI代理（英文版）

Using prompt-based experiments with ChatGPT’s reasoning model, we evaluate whether a generative artificial intelligence (AI) agent can perform high-level intraday liquidity management in a wholesale payment system. We simulate payment scenarios with ...

2025-12-04 14 805.67KB 25页
国际清算银行：重新审视监管资本结构（英文版）

The post-Great Financial Crisis regulatory reforms have directly contributed to a more resilient financial system and supported sustainable growth, but some concrete aspects can be improved. • The complexity of the current capital framework and limit...

2025-12-04 15 376.95KB 16页
国际货币基金组织：哥伦比亚能源转型计划的宏观财政影响（英文版）

This paper assesses the risks and opportunities of Colombia’s energy transition plan. Recognizing that a sharp fall in oil and coal production would weigh heavily on fiscal sustainability and regional economies, it emphasizes that a well-managed expa...

2025-12-04 13 1.19MB 20页
国际货币基金组织：哥伦比亚劳动力参与情况（英文版）

Colombia’s labor force participation (LFP) showed a steady and gradual decline for both men and women between 2012 and 2019, which contrasts with rising LFP in regional peers. This paper assesses the factors behind LFP dynamics in Colombia to inform ...

2025-12-04 16 934.5KB 12页
国际货币基金组织：扩张性财政政策的通货膨胀风险（英文版）

: Drawing on an extensive literature, this paper examines the extent to which expansionary fiscalpolicy poses a challenge to containing inflation. it does so by assessing how infation responds to shocks to thefiscal deficit and public debt, and by id...

2025-12-04 14 1.26MB 17页
欧洲央行：频繁发生政策事件的货币传导（英文版）

We empirically examine the role of both official monetary policy announcements and policymakers’ speeches in the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets and the real economy in the euro area. Using intraday data covering a broad cross-se...

2025-12-04 13 2.3MB 36页
欧洲央行：通货膨胀风险和异质性下降（英文版）

I examine how households adjust the quality of their purchases in response to adverse economic shocks. Using household scanner data from Germany, I document heterogeneous responses across income levels. Higher-income households tend to reduce the qua...

2025-12-04 14 2.05MB 58页
ADB亚洲开发银行：超越美丽的图片：Sentinel-2图像的单图像和多图像联合超分辨率（英文版）

Super-resolution (SR) aims to increase the resolution of satellite images by reconstructing high-frequency details, which go beyond naive upsampling. This has particular relevance for Earth observation missions like Sentinel-2, which offer frequent, ...

2025-12-04 12 2.16MB 31页

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