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美联储：CRE发展潜力与机会区选择（英文版）

Place-based policies are often caught between two potentially conflicting aims: (i) directing aid to needy communities and (ii) spurring investment. We study this tradeoff in the context of the Opportunity Zones (OZ) program. Leveraging unique phase-...

2026-08-19 4 1.49MB 55页
美联储：政府债券支持的回购市场：在弹性和脆弱性之间（英文版）

This paper synthesizes the literature on vulnerabilities in government bond-backed repo markets, focusing on the features that contribute to both the fragility and stability of these markets. The literature shows that the same features that enable ef...

2026-08-19 4 436.74KB 49页
产业界负责任人工智能实践的半个十年实证研究（英文版）

Responsible AI (RAI) has become a central concern for technology companies, regulators, and the public. Howindustry practitioners interpret, implement, and sustain RAI work directly shapes the design and deploymentof AI systems. As empirical scholars...

2026-08-19 3 1.2MB 39页
国际劳工组织（ILO）：气候相关的热应激与哥伦比亚的职业死亡率（英文版）

Using death certificate data recorded in the Colombian vital statistics system for 2017–2021, together with temperature data from meteorological stations, this study examines mortality associated with air temperatures above 26°C across occupations cl...

2026-08-17 2 1.39MB 44页
刘永琴：基于眼动实验的旅游景观图片感知机制研究

：在互联网和社交媒体快速发展的背景下，旅游景观图片已成为塑造目的地形象、影响游客决策的关键媒介。为探究不同类型旅游景观图片的视觉加工特征及其主观感知差异，以自然景观、人文景观和复合景观3 类图片为实验材料，采用实验室眼动追踪和主观感知量表相结合的方法，对84 名被试观看标准化景观图片时的眼动指标和感知评价进行分析。结果表明：1）3 类景观图片诱发的视觉注意模式存在较为显著差异。自然景观以分散式扫视为主，人文景观表现出较集中的持续注视，复合景观呈现多焦点交替探索特征。2）3 类景观图片的主观感知评...

2026-08-17 3 13.03MB 11页
国际货币基金组织：空间错配与劳动生产率：瑞典（英文版）

: Reviving productivity could strengthen Sweden’s resilience to global shocks while helping accommodate new public spending priorities. Sweden’s institutional framework remains a solid foundation for sustained productivity growth, and reform measures...

2026-08-13 10 1.59MB 23页
国际货币基金组织：毛里求斯货币政策的现代化：毛里求斯银行的实施、分析与沟通（英文版）

Since the adoption of an explicit inflation-targeting regime in 2023, Mauritius has made notableprogress in modemizing its monetary policy framework, Reforms have strengthened the design of monetarypolicy implementation, enhanced analytical capacity...

2026-08-13 10 1.05MB 9页
国际货币基金组织：人口逆风：人口老龄化对毛里求斯增长的影响（英文版）

Mauritius faces severe demographic pressures from population ageing, low fertility, and out-migration. Using a growth decomposition framework, this paper finds that demographic factors shifted from supporting growth to weighing on it around 2017 and ...

2026-08-13 10 1.99MB 15页
世界银行：选择还是更多资本？肯尼亚高增长企业家的实验证据（英文版）

Business plan competitions aim to identify and spur highgrowth entrepreneurs. Two experiments were embedded into in a Kenyan competition to test how intensity of selection and of capital determine entrepreneurial outcomes. Applicants received a US$9,...

2026-08-12 24 2.55MB 70页
欧洲央行：冲击在各部门的传播和部门价格的动态（英文版）

This paper studies the dynamics of U.S. sectoral producer prices in a large Bayesian Vector Auto Regression (BVAR) model where the Input-Output (IO) matrix is used to structure their long-run relationships. The model provides evidence of a sectoral s...

2026-08-11 12 3.94MB 43页
向量自回归中的阈值内生性：重新评估货币状态依赖性（英文版）

This article proposes a novel framework that integrates Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) into a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) model to forecast macro-financial variables and examine asymmetries in the transmission of oil pri...

2026-08-11 11 1.85MB 52页
欧洲央行：政府财政统计指南（英文版）

This chapter explains the changes made to the Guide compared to the version of January 2019, how government finance statistics (GFS) are used at the European Central Bank (ECB) and also gives a brief overview of the methodological framework for GF...

2026-08-11 12 883.07KB 88页
欧洲央行：主观收入与就业动态（英文版）

We develop a new approach to estimating earnings, job, and employment dy-namics using subjective expectations data from the NY Fed Survey of ConsumerExpectations. These data provide beliefs about future earnings offers and accep-tance probabilities, ...

2026-08-11 10 1.52MB 74页
国际货币基金组织：大宗商品繁荣、生产率与资源错配-来自智利行政数据的证据（英文版）

We study how commodity booms affect productivity using administrative microdata from Chile combining firm exports by product and destination,employer-employee records,and firm-to-firm production networks.Exploiting differential Chinese demand across ...

2026-08-11 14 1.53MB 74页
国际货币基金组织：货币市场的金融冲击：来自UIP溢价的证据（英文版）

This paper proposes a sign-narrative VAR approach to identifying financial shocks in currency markets. The approach imposes minimal sign restrictions shared across canonical exchange rate models, leveraging their key insights while remaining robust t...

2026-08-11 14 4.39MB 63页
国际货币基金组织：即将到来的大萧条？新指标与百年证据（英文版）

Governments have historically used financial repression to reduce debt and fiscal pressures, yet few systematic measures of repression exist. To fill this gap, we introduce two quantity-based repression indicators grounded in a structural portfolio-c...

2026-08-11 10 1.63MB 71页
国际货币基金组织：自上而下的趋同：当全球追赶反映的是落后（英文版）

Convergence is usually interpreted as evidence of catch-up: poorer economies grow faster because they are moving toward richer ones. This paper argues that the same empirical pattern can arise from a different source. If country-specific long-run tra...

2026-08-11 6 1.46MB 52页
王虹：凸集的并集体积估计，以及三维中Kakeya集合猜想（英文版）

We study sets of δ tubes in R3 , with the property that not too many tubes can be contained inside a common convex set V. We show that the union of tubes from such a set must have almost maximal volume. As a consequence, we prove that every Kakeya s...

2026-08-10 11 3.83MB 127页
上海国际问题研究院：全球治理倡议视域下中国海洋治理自主知识体系的构建与实践

全球海洋治理思想体系在历史演进中形成了西方传统海洋思想、全球南方治理诉求与中国海洋治理理念三大谱系。当前，以《联合国海洋法公约》为核心的治理体系面临理念缺陷、体系缺陷、治理困境与实践困境等多重结构性难题，难以适配海洋治理现代化的现实需求。文章以全球治理倡议为理论基础，界定中国海洋治理自主知识体系的含义与价值，提出以主权平等、国际法治、多边主义、以人为本和行动导向为五大核心，为自主知识体系提供了系统的法理指引与价值支撑；构建以共商共建共享为价值核心，以主权平等、公平正义、人海和谐、互利共...

2026-08-07 22 1.06MB 15页
上海国际问题研究院：“十五五”规划下中国参与全球海洋治理的机遇、挑战与创新

“十五五”规划纲要将“坚持陆海统筹，提高经略海洋能力，加快建设海洋强国，走出一条具有中国特色的向海图强之路”确立为国家海洋战略目标，从推动海洋经济高质量发展、保护海洋生态环境、维护国家海洋权益等方面系统部署海洋事业发展，标志着我国参与全球海洋治理进入系统性制度构建的新阶段。“十五五”开局之年，国际社会面临以《联合国海洋法公约》为核心的全球海洋治理体系仍存在主导权失衡、规则碎片化、结构失衡、实践低效等结构性困境，难以有效回应新兴海洋议题的治理需求。为此，中国应以“十五五”规划纲要为遵循，...

2026-08-07 14 547.97KB 11页

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