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国际清算银行：极端天气事件后的经济活动、通货膨胀和货币政策：厄尔尼诺南方涛动及其对秘鲁经济的影响（英文版）

This paper studies how El Ni˜no Costero, a large climatic event, generates physical risks disrupting business cycles and hindering the effectiveness of monetary policy. Using Peruvian data, we find consistent empirical evidence that El Ni˜no shocks l...

2025-07-16 12 3.76MB 57页
国际清算银行：私人信贷的散户投资者（英文版）

Private credit has become an important source of funding for mid-sized firms, increasingly replacing bank credit. The industry manages more than $2.2 trillion in assets globally, up from just $100 billion in 2010. In many jurisdictions, private credi...

2025-07-16 11 355.39KB 8页
国际清算银行：稳定币增长-政策挑战和方法（英文版）

Stablecoins are cryptoasset tokens that circulate mainly on public permissionless blockchains and strive to maintain a stable value relative to a reference asset. Most stablecoins are pegged to the US dollar, promising redeeming investors one dollar ...

2025-07-16 10 474.21KB 8页
国际清算银行：解读主权债券定价中的气候相关风险：全球视角（英文版）

Climate change poses a significant risk to financial stability by impacting sovereign credit risk. Quantifying the exact impact is difficult as climate risk encompasses different components – transition risk and physical risk – with some of these, as...

2025-07-16 7 1.25MB 52页
国际清算银行：金融体系的量子准备：路线图（英文版）

Quantum computers may in the future break today’s widely used encryption. This paper provides a framework to support the financial system in the transition to quantum-safe cryptographic infrastructures. It emphasises the need to start the transition ...

2025-07-16 8 2.05MB 31页
欧洲央行：罢工时铁很热-最佳策略低估了依赖性定价（英文版）

We characterize optimal monetary policy under state-dependent pricing. The framework gives rise to nonlinear inflation dynamics: The flexibility of the price level increases after large shocks due to an endogenous rise in the frequency of price chang...

2025-07-14 10 6.15MB 68页
欧洲央行：当地的机构所有权和围绕极端天气的挑战（英文版）

In this event study, we analyze the effect of market segmentation on stock returns in Europe amid extreme weather events. We show that local institutional ownership (LIO) mitigates the negative effect of the uncertainty from the occurrence of extreme...

2025-07-14 10 4.55MB 71页
欧洲央行：全球利润转移的证据以及跨时间的全球证据（英文版）

Large global companies commonly engage in tax planning strategies to move their profits from high-tax countries to low-tax (or no-tax) countries to reduce the amount of taxes they pay. Such “shifting” of profits across borders within multinational en...

2025-07-14 8 1.84MB 84页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：碎片化世界中数字资产的机会（英文版）

As the global economic and financial systems become increasingly fractured, this may undermine the US dollar’s central role in international trade and finance. Dollar dominance stems from the US economy’s weight in world trade, the depth and liquidit...

2025-07-14 10 752.32KB 14页
Xueting Zhao：考虑城市交通系统弹性-脆弱性的交通拥堵区识别与预防研究（英文版）

In order to solve the problem of urban short-term traffic congestion and temporal and spatial heterogeneity, it is important to scientifically delineate urban traffic congestion response areas to alleviate regional traffic congestion and improve road...

2025-07-14 6 10.76MB 23页
A Samim：人工智能在交通拥堵与管理系统中的应用分析（英文版）

AI). The movement of people, things, cars, and cargo at various points on the transportation network may now be predicted and controlled by AI with remarkable accuracy. AI is making it feasible to prevent accidents by optimising flows at crossings an...

2025-07-14 14 896.65KB 6页
N Nigam：智能交通管理系统（ITMS）的不同组成部分（英文版）

Traffic congestion is a serious challenge in urban areas. So, to address this challenge, the intelligent traffic management system (ITMS) is used to manage traffic on road networks. Managing traffic helps to focus on environmental impacts as well as ...

2025-07-14 17 1.17MB 40页
国际货币基金组织：非洲气候弹性的策略：贸易和实践（英文版）

Africa is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change despite its minimal contribution to global greenhouse gas emissions. The continent’s burden manifests in shifting weather patterns which threatens food security and economic stability, compounded ...

2025-07-10 11 1.5MB 39页
国际货币基金组织：在欧元区缺少进口：国内货币政策，跨境同步和需求组成（英文版）

This paper sheds new light on an overlooked channel of monetary transmission: the relationship between central bank interest rate policy and the economy’s trade position. It examines the impact of monetary policy on import dynamics through its effect...

2025-07-10 19 2.94MB 45页
国际货币基金组织：政府支出对二氧化碳排放的时变影响（英文版）

A Bavesian factor-augmented interacted vector autoregression framework purified ofexpectations is employed to analyze how government spending shocks have impacted CO2 emissions in theUnited States from the 1980s to the pre-pandemic period. Consumptio...

2025-07-10 15 13.48MB 33页
国际货币基金组织：长期弹性和增长的宏观经济框架（英文版）

This paper describes a macroeconomic framework integrating disasters in the analysis of growth and long-term economic resilience. The framework is a dynamic growth model incorporating endogenous human and physical capital accumulation, fiscal policy ...

2025-07-10 20 2.06MB 44页
国际货币基金组织：转型经济体内改革的排序与速度：以乌兹别克斯坦为例（英文版）

Uzbekistan has made significant progress in its transition to a market economy since 2017, achieving advancements in macroeconomic stabilization, trade and exchange rate liberalization, price liberalization, and small-scale privatization. Despite the...

2025-07-08 8 977.42KB 22页
国际货币基金组织：乌兹别克斯坦与公私伙伴关系：国家经验教训，乌兹别克斯坦共和国（英文版）

Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) utilize private sector expertise, risk sharing, management, and financing to improve public investment. However, these benefits also carry risks. Project level risks include poor selection, optimism bias, off-budget...

2025-07-08 10 826.82KB 24页
国际货币基金组织：什么是实证货币政策冲击？政策新闻的术语结构估计（英文版）

Empirical monetary policy shocks (EMPS) contain information about monetary policy both today and in the future. We define the term structure of monetary policy news as the marginal impact of an EMPS on the policy residual at each horizon. Policy news...

2025-07-08 11 1.08MB 60页
国际货币基金组织：整合碎片化网络：货币和支付互操作性的价值（英文版）

Payments technologies pose an economic dilemma: network effects can lead to a small number of dominant platforms, but efforts to increase choice can risk market fragmentation. We examine whether interoperability can help resolve this tension, using d...

2025-07-08 14 2.84MB 105页

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