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纽约联储：宏观冲击下的非线性微观收益过程（英文版）

We propose a nonlinear framework to study the dynamic transmission of aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks to household income that exploits both macro and micro data. Our approach allows us to examine empirically the following questions: (a) How do bu...

2025-08-21 23 3.87MB 74页
世界银行：气候脆弱性和就业机会：来自马达加斯加塔那那利佛的证据（英文版）

Many developing cities are facing rapid population growth and extreme climate events. This paper examines the link between job accessibility and climate vulnerability, using data from Antananarivo, Madagascar, which frequently experiences flooding. A...

2025-08-21 57 2.09MB 44页
世界银行：数字技能发展：能力框架、评估工具和教学方法（英文版）

This study provides a comprehensive review of digital skills frameworks, competences, and assessment tools, emphasizing the critical role of digital proficiency in personal, professional, and educational success. It highlights the growing demand for ...

2025-08-21 59 2.61MB 82页
世界银行：数字技能教学的教学法和课程方法：在正规和非正规教育环境中教授数字技能的最有效方法是什么？（英文版）

The increasing need for digital skills is driving countries worldwide to invest heavily in digital skills education, but the most effective practices for developing these skills remain unclear. This paper reviews current pedagogical and curricular ap...

2025-08-21 55 3.3MB 82页
世界银行：提高非洲NEET青年数字技能的策略（英文版）

This background paper examines the critical issue of how to enhance digital skills among youth who are not in employment, education, or training (NEET) in Africa to prevent approximately 72 million young people (two-thirds of whom are young women) fr...

2025-08-21 43 1.2MB 38页
CSET：生物科技制造学徒制一项劳动力创新的案例研究（英文版）

To maintain global competitiveness and leadership in emerging technologies like biotechnology and artificial intelligence (AI), the United States needs a highly skilled workforce capable of navigating the complexities of these rapidly advancing field...

2025-08-20 31 2.66MB 35页
国际货币基金组织：经济构造学：更深入地研究美国经济中的结构性变化和生产率趋势（英文版）

The U.S. economy has undergone profound structural transformations in recent decades. This descriptive study analyzes tradable and nontradable sectoral trends, with our findings demonstrating that the share of tradable sector employment and, within i...

2025-08-19 21 5.32MB 53页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：谦逊的发芽：迈向非洲人工智能治理的去殖民化（英文版）

Regional, state and multilateral artificial intelligence (AI) governing schemes cater to the peculiar concerns of participating entities. While states from, and entities domiciled in, the Global North dominate most of the key arrangements in this reg...

2025-08-18 30 215.88KB 9页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：稳定币如何在关税世界中运作？（英文版）

This paper explores stablecoins’ role in addressing geoeconomic fragmentation and rising tariffs projected for 2025. As protectionist policies and regional alliances disrupt global trade, stablecoins offer solutions for enhancing trade efficiency. Th...

2025-08-18 24 291.55KB 18页
加拿大国际治理创新中心CIGI：稳定币将如何融入金融系统？（英文版）

Stablecoins are transforming from niche crypto instruments to critical programmable infrastructure, with profound implications for global finance and business strategy. By enabling instantaneous, low-cost settlement, they bridge disparate domestic pa...

2025-08-18 32 613.01KB 17页
中国健康老龄化之路：北京大学-柳叶刀重大报告

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2025-08-16 70 2.07MB 66页
巴德学院利维经济研究所：气温上升，产量下降：气候冲击对巴勒斯坦橄榄油生产的影响（英文版）

This study investigates the effect of climate shocks on olive oil production in Palestine, a region acutely vulnerable to both environmental change and political instability. We estimate the influences of temperature and rainfall fluctuations on four...

2025-08-15 31 782.72KB 27页
国际清算银行：关税冲击后的市场波动：基于事件的目标变量自回归（VAR）分析方法（英文版）

On 2 April 2025, the U.S. President announced one of the largest tariff packages in history, triggering sharp financial market reactions. Yet within six weeks, markets had largely recovered. This paper develops an event-targeted vector autoregression...

2025-08-15 37 774.75KB 29页
国会预算办公室：基于调查的利率转移终点动态期限结构模型（英文版）

In this paper, I present a dynamic term structure model of interest rates that features a shifting endpoint and incorporates survey forecasts of interest rates to sharpen the model’s implied forecasts and estimate trend interest rates. I present a ne...

2025-08-15 27 381.19KB 23页
欧洲央行：注意应用程序：欧洲存款对数字化有反应吗？（英文版）

The March 2023 banking turmoil has intensified discussions whether social media and the digitalisation of finance have become significant factors in driving severe deposit outflows. We introduce the concept of deposits-at-risk and utilize quantile re...

2025-08-14 30 5.44MB 45页
英国财政研究所（IFS）：英国的人力资本与不平等（英文版）

The main activities of retail or ‘high street’ banks, such as accepting savers’ deposits, making loans and providing payment services, are well known. In contrast, the functions of investment banks are typically less well understood. This article des...

2025-08-14 41 4.49MB 114页
ADB亚洲开发银行：数字无障碍与减贫：全球视角（英文版）

This study investigates the poverty reduction gains that are associated with access to digital technologies by using panel data based on 113 countries from 2000 to 2022. We address crosssectional and temporal dependency with the Driscoll-Kraay techni...

2025-08-14 26 3.37MB 50页
国际货币基金组织：加勒比地区的潜在增长和生产力（英文版）

Medium-term growth prospects of Caribbean countries have weakened in recent years. We examine these trends by providing new estimates of potential GDP growth for the region. Our findings reveal a broad-based decline over time, driven by declining con...

2025-08-14 30 4.4MB 48页
新经济思想研究所：美联储电汇仍然是一种完全收回成本的补贴吗？（英文版）

This paper examines the Federal Reserve’s current financial losses—unprecedented in scale—and the questionable accounting practices it uses to downplay their impact. It argues that the Fed’s selfdefined accounting standards, particularly the creation...

2025-08-14 29 717.95KB 50页
国际货币基金组织：驾驭塞尔维亚的经济未来：生产力的关键作用（英文版）

Serbia has grown at a rate comparable to peers over recent decades, but the income gap with the EU, albeit narrowing, remains large. As contributions from labor and capital to potential growth are expected to decline, Serbia needs to accelerate struc...

2025-08-14 55 3.85MB 27页

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