开通会员限时优惠

登录 | 注册

全部分类

学术论文

类型:

美联储：通胀感知在消费者通胀预期中的作用：来自欧元区的证据（英文版）

Using data on euro-area household inflation forecasts from the European Commission Consumer Survey, we show that households’ perceptions of recent price changes play a key role in the formation of their inflation expectations. Such a relationship rem...

2026-06-10 0 898.29KB 56页
美联储：完美安全的数字货币的脆弱性（英文版）

Digital money differs from previous forms of money in an important way: it unbundles trust. Instead of relying on a trustworthy institution to settle payments, it relies on decentralized verification, whose cost is priced separately through congestio...

2026-06-10 0 984.25KB 70页
美联储：慢速学习（英文版）

This paper provides an analytic characterization of the speed of convergence under learning to a rational expectations equilibrium (REE) for a large class of multivariate models. We show that learning is slower when people’s beliefs about model outco...

2026-06-10 0 973.2KB 75页
世界银行：缺少证据：全球学术数据使用情况追踪（英文版）

Data-driven research on a country is key to producing evidence-based public policies. Yet little is known about where data-driven research is lacking and how it could be expanded. This paper proposes a method for tracking academic data use by country...

2026-06-10 0 3.35MB 39页
国际劳工组织（ILO）：为职业安全与健康预防融资：六个案例的比较分析（英文版）

At its 349th Session, the ILO Governing Body endorsed the Global Strategy on Occupational Safety and Health (OSH), recognizing sustainable financing as a key condition for the development of effective, resilient and sustainable national OSH systems. ...

2026-06-09 0 1.79MB 57页
张天祥：温塘镇温泉康养旅游产品适老化设计研究

随着康养旅游需求的持续增长，温泉康养旅游已成为旅游产业转型升级的重要方向。河北省平山县温塘镇凭借独特的高温氡泉资源与多年温泉康养服务经验，具备发展温泉康养旅游的显著优势，但也面临产品结构单一、温泉设施与服务适老化不足等问题。本文建议以完善温泉及住宿设施适老化设计与无障碍设施配置，提升服务质量与康养专业水平等方式，提升温塘镇温泉康养旅游的竞争优势，助力其向老年友好型康养目的地转型升级...

2026-06-09 0 554.08KB 6页
美联储：1968年至2020年美联储的替代方案：数据、解释和评估（英文版）

We comprehensively document 1,265 Federal Reserve staff alternative scenarios presented to the Federal Open Market Committee in publicly released materials from 1968 to 2020. Scenarios grew in frequency and sophistication, typically spanning a range ...

2026-06-04 0 740.5KB 25页
美联储：美国共同基金行业的技能和效率（英文版）

We propose a new measure of mutual fund manager ability: “efficiency” is the ability to accrue the risk premium associated with a risk factor. The familiar abnormal return, or alpha, is shown to be the sum of two distinct measures of ability: “aggreg...

2026-06-04 0 1.58MB 79页
美联储：银行监管与非银行中介的兴起（英文版）

We study the rise of nonbank financial intermediation and its implications for systemic risk. We develop a structural network model of banks and nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs) that decomposes intermediation into a capacity channel, driven by ...

2026-06-04 0 1.96MB 41页
美联储：注意力分配与信念扭曲（英文版）

Using microdata from the Michigan Survey of Consumers, we study how within-household reallocations of attention across news affect inflation expectation bias, measured relative to a real-time, machine-learning full-information benchmark. Shifting att...

2026-06-04 0 664.2KB 63页
ADB亚洲开发银行：经济特区在塑造越南当地商业环境中的作用（英文版）

This study examines the effects of special economic zones (SEZs) on firm growth and the regional business environment in Viet Nam, highlighting their key role as a policy tool to attract foreign investors. Using detailed panel data from Viet Nam’s 63...

2026-06-04 0 1.04MB 38页
ADB亚洲开发银行：融资性质：投资基金与生物多样性风险（英文版）

How do international investors adjust portfolios in response to biodiversity risk? Using monthly data on investment fund portfolios, we show that the 2021 Kunming Declaration led fund managers to reallocate portfolios from high-biodiversity risk coun...

2026-06-04 0 408.64KB 45页
ADB亚洲开发银行：数字连接和家庭收入：来自越南女性户主家庭的证据（英文版）

This paper examines the effect of digital connectivity on income of women-headed households in Viet Nam. Using the Viet Nam Digital Economy Access Index and the Viet Nam Household Living Standards Survey, empirical evidence shows that increased digit...

2026-06-04 0 563.34KB 34页
国际劳工组织（ILO）：社会正义：一个共同理想的历史演变（英文版）

This article traces how the idea of social justice evolved from early human practices of care to a global political ideal. Empathy and mutual aid are ancient, evident both in theory and in practice since the dawn of humanity, and institutions extendi...

2026-06-04 0 523.42KB 30页
世界银行：性别不平等的宏观代价：全球生产率损失测度（英文版）

The extent to which women participate in the labor market varies greatly across the globe. If such differences reflect distortions that women face in accessing good jobs, they can reduce economic activity through a misallocation of talent. This paper...

2026-06-04 0 894.7KB 57页
世界银行：南亚的机会不平等：没有消费收益的教育收益之谜（英文版）

More than two decades of sustained economic growth in South Asia brought significant reductions in poverty, yet inclusive social progress has remained elusive. Using a pseudo-panel approach with a large-scale harmonized dataset of 20 million observat...

2026-06-03 0 2.44MB 74页
曾予慧：数字经济赋能智慧养老的路径研究

人口老龄化与数字化转型的深度交织，为智慧养老发展带来了前所未有的机遇与挑战。本文从“价值发现-价值创造-价值传递-价值增值”四个递进层面，系统阐释数字经济赋能智慧养老的内在机理，揭示其通过数字画像驱动需求识别、智能技术重构服务模式、数字平台优化资源配置、数字创新拓展价值边界的深层逻辑。在此基础上，本文结合国内典型智慧养老项目案例，对数字经济赋能机制进行解构与验证，深入剖析当前智慧养老面临的三大现实困境:技术供给错位导致适老化产品“可用不好用”，治理体系滞后引发数据安全风险与监管碎片化，群体融入断...

2026-06-03 0 587.75KB 6页
余博林：电-碳-绿证市场协同联动对可再生能源电力发展的影响-多主体博弈视角

电力低碳转型是实现“双碳”目标的重要举措.针对计及消费者绿色偏好的可再生能源电力渗透问题，建立绿电商、火电商和消费者参与电-碳-绿证市场交易的Stackelberg博弈模型，推导多主体交易策略，并分析绿电均衡量及其市场份额的变化规律.发现绿证价格较大时，绿电优先出清较绿电火电同时出清下的绿电均衡量更大;当绿证价格居中时，若碳价较低，优先出清下绿电均衡量更高，若碳价较高，则同时出清下更高;当绿证价格较低时，同时出清下绿电均衡量更高.碳价和消费者绿色偏好越高，绿电均衡量及其市场份额也越高;随着绿电...

2026-06-02 0 1.61MB 19页
北大国发院：2026年电力现货市场改革、可再生能源消纳与火电调峰转型：来自机组层面的证据研究

:在“双碳”目标和新能源发电占比不断提升的背景下，如何通过电力现货市场机制解决新能源电力波动性问题，并支撑更多新能源消纳，已成为关键挑战。然而，关于电力现货市场对新能源消纳与发电结构调整的微观机制，当前缺乏直接的经验证据。本文利用山西省于2021年4月1日启动并持续运行的电力现货市场作为准自然实验，基于机组一日度高频数据，采用非参数与参数化事件研究方法识别改革对不同类型发电机组运行的动态影响。研究发现:现货市场启动后，风电与光伏发电量显著上升，且在风光资源条件较好时增幅更为明显;火电机组发电量持...

2026-06-02 0 1.46MB 39页
美联储：美联储的微调：粗略的声明和预测性的压力（英文版）

Central bank communications, particularly FOMC statements and press conferences, play a crucial role in shaping financial market expectations. Using large language models to quantify central bank content, this paper demonstrates how sentiment aligns ...

2026-05-29 0 7.72MB 73页

...

5

...

确认删除?