开通会员限时优惠

登录 | 注册

全部分类

学术论文

类型:

国会预算办公室：提高关税的说明性政策的影响（英文版）

You asked about the budgetary, economic, and distributional effects of policies that would raise tariff rates on goods imported into the United States. Specifically, you asked the Congressional Budget Office to estimate the effects of permanently inc...

2024-12-26 26 243.51KB 9页
国会预算办公室：重新审视债务与长期利率之间的关系（英文版）

In forming its long-run projections of the interest rate on 10-year Treasury notes, the Congressional Budget Office estimates that a 1 percentage-point increase in the projected ratio of debt to gross domestic product raises average long-run interest...

2024-12-26 37 957.98KB 33页
国际清算银行：财政刺激计划和家庭预期（英文版）

Fiscal decisions develop through multiple stages of political discussions and lengthy legislative processes. We propose a measure of public attention to fiscal policy news based on Google Trends and investigate the reaction of households’ expectation...

2024-12-26 37 840KB 38页
国际清算银行：2024年零售中央银行数字货币（CBDC）架构提案（英文版）

As central banks explore retail central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), there is value in sharing experiences and working together on a proposed retail CBDC architecture. This architecture defines how a CBDC will be issued and circulated, and what r...

2024-12-26 65 1.68MB 22页
世界银行：双边劳工协议会增加移民吗？1960年至2020年的全球证据（英文版）

This paper estimates the impact of bilateral labor arrangements on migration between two countries. It uses comprehensive data on bilateral migration and bilateral labor agreements across all country pairs for each decade from 1960 to 2020, and emplo...

2024-12-25 180 1.64MB 49页
世界银行：偷税漏税与缴费福利环节-以生育福利为例（英文版）

This paper studies tax evasion and the contribution-benefit link in the context of maternity benefits in Hungary. Earnings and employment patterns suggest pre-pregnancy underreporting, followed by formalization of some earnings and employment during ...

2024-12-25 160 1.16MB 35页
世界银行：中东和北非地区的脱碳：能源转型、贸易和劳动力市场（英文版）

This paper examines two key questions about decarbonization and its economic implications. First, it analyzes how environmental provisions in trade agreements affect bilateral trade flows, with a specific focus on the Middle East and North Africa reg...

2024-12-25 298 948.81KB 29页
世界银行：中东和北非的极端天气冲击和企业（英文版）

The Middle East and North Africa is the most water scarce region in the world. Although studies have explored the effect of extreme weather events on agriculture, much less is known about the effect on businesses. Using geocoded firm-level data from ...

2024-12-25 487 706.47KB 26页
世界银行：气候冲击及其对阿富汗粮食安全、价格和农业工资的影响（英文版）

This study examines the effects of climate and weather shocks on Afghanistan’s agricultural economy, with an emphasis on food security, prices, and wages. By utilizing a dynamical model and a unique data set that includes monthly global and local foo...

2024-12-25 203 1.68MB 38页
世界银行：美国朋友是支持、近岸还是离岸？来自绿地投资公告的证据（英文版）

This paper examines the evolution of greenfield investment announcements—both domestic and international—for US multinational companies in response to recent global shocks. The results indicate an intensification of reshoring and nearshoring activiti...

2024-12-25 576 784.01KB 24页
世界银行：贸易政策、绿色产品和劳动力市场：来自菲律宾的证据（英文版）

Green goods trade will matter for the transition to a low-carbon global economy as well as for its adaptive capacity to climate events. This study explores green goods trade and related trade policies in the Philippines and its relationship with the ...

2024-12-25 159 2.78MB 56页
大选年美国推进“印太经济框架”的战略调整及中国应对策略

...

2024-12-20 27 1.34MB 10页
新经济思想研究所：反垄断的规范经济理论需要重新启动（英文版）

Antitrust has adopted a normative economic theory based on maximizing economic surplus. The theory originates with Marshall but was introduced into antitrust as the Consumer Welfare Standard by Judge Robert Bork, and survives today in virtually every...

2024-12-20 31 1.34MB 66页
国际清算银行：有针对性的泰勒规则：一些证据和理论（英文版）

Monetary theory and central bank doctrine generally prescribe a forceful reaction to demand-driven inflation and an attenuated response, if any, to supply-driven inflation. The Taylor–type rules used so far to describe central banks’ reaction functio...

2024-12-20 28 1.31MB 38页
国际清算银行：债务偿还总额和私人信贷限额（英文版）

This paper reviews the debt service ratio (DSR) as a theoretically well-grounded indicator of systemic risk. The DSR has the desirable feature that it fluctuates around a stable level which makes its early warning signals easy to understand and commu...

2024-12-19 35 845.21KB 46页
特朗普税改“冲击波”：经济影响与政策应对

...

2024-12-18 28 1.64MB 22页
世界银行：增值税退税与企业绩效：来自洪都拉斯预扣税改革的证据（英文版）

Late or unreliable refunds of credits undermine the best traits of value-added tax (VAT) systems and might affect firms’ growth and investment opportunities. This paper uses administrative tax records in Honduras to study a tax reform that decreased ...

2024-12-18 108 5.38MB 67页
世界银行：企业规模与公共投资乘数：来自秘鲁的微观证据（英文版）

This paper examines how the concentration of large firms influences the fiscal multiplier effects of public investment in transport infrastructure. Using data from 1,891 Peruvian municipalities and firm-level information, the analysis exploits a quas...

2024-12-18 101 1.3MB 41页
大城市女多男少竟是因为想“高嫁”？（英文版）

Young women outnumber young men in cities in many countries during periods of economic growth and urbanization. This gender imbalance among young urbanites is more pronounced in larger cities. We use the gradual rollout of Special Economic Zones acro...

2024-12-18 36 2.2MB 64页
基于场域理论的美国亚太战略体系演变分析

...

2024-12-17 35 1.82MB 16页

...

66

...

确认删除?