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美联储：Arepas不是Tacos：拉丁美洲劳动力市场（英文版）

This paper examines labor markets across Latin American countries, revealing substantial differences in unemployment, informality, and worker transitions. Using surveys from eight countries, we construct comparable statistics on employment stocks and...

2024-10-15 58 1.08MB 29页
美联储：关于通货膨胀预期期限结构的分歧（英文版）

We develop a model of the individual term structure of inflation expectations across forecasting horizons. Using the Survey of Professional Forecasters, we decompose disagreement about inflation expectations into individuals’ long-term beliefs, priva...

2024-10-15 42 6.65MB 84页
美联储：银行与创业中的信息技术（英文版）

We study the importance of information technology (IT) in banking for entrepreneurship. Guided by a parsimonious model, we establish that job creation by young firms is stronger in US counties more exposed to banks with greater IT adoption. We presen...

2024-10-15 49 706.44KB 85页
美联储：增加税收，减少再融资？抵押贷款利息扣除与货币政策传导（英文版）

We study how the mortgage interest deduction (MID) affects refinancing. Households who deduct mortgage interest from their taxes face a lower post-tax mortgage rate, reducing the interest savings from refinancing net of taxes. We estimate the effect ...

2024-10-15 220 2.35MB 50页
世界银行：印度绿色与棕色就业特征研究（英文版）

Transitioning toward sustainable development practices is expected to result in broad changes to economic activity, which will subsequently impact labor markets and change the demand for skills. India established the Skill Council for Green Jobs to i...

2024-10-14 115 1.53MB 53页
Moshi：2024实时对话的语音-文本基础模型技术（英文版）

We introduce Moshi, a speech-text foundation model and full-duplex spoken dialogue framework. Current systems for spoken dialogue rely on pipelines of independent components, namely voice activity detection, speech recognition, textual dialogue and t...

2024-10-14 47 4.54MB 67页
世界银行：改进的家庭调查如何影响国家和国际贫困率（英文版）

To effectively address poverty, it is essential that countries have the tools and means to accurately measure people’s living standards. Most countries rely on data collected from household surveys to measure monetary poverty, defining households as ...

2024-10-14 201 492.56KB 8页
世界银行：个人主动性培训对创业成功的长期和持久影响（英文版）

A randomized experiment in Togo found that personal initiative training for small businesses resulted in large and significant impacts for both men and women after two years (Campos et al, 2017). This paper revisits these entrepreneurs after seven ye...

2024-10-14 140 1.06MB 41页
世界银行：更多知情的公民会做出更好的气候政策决策吗？（英文版）

This study explores the relationship between perceptions of catastrophic events and beliefs about climate change. Using data from the 2023 Life in Transition Survey, the study finds that contrary to conventional wisdom, more accurate knowledge about ...

2024-10-14 184 1.29MB 33页
世界银行：国内法律与政府采购中的保护主义

This paper examines how procurement rules affect international trade, leveraging a novel dataset that characterizes national laws across 141 countries. Text analysis of national laws on government procurement identifies prevalent protectionist measur...

2024-10-14 204 4.43MB 45页
世界银行：后双重选择拉索在田间试验中的应用（英文版）

The post-double selection Lasso estimator has become a popular way of selecting control variables when analyzing randomized experiments. This is done to try to improve precision, and reduce bias from attrition or chance imbalances. This paper re-esti...

2024-10-14 62 1.99MB 44页
世界银行：绘制撒哈拉以南非洲不受控制的光伏水泵对依赖地下水的生态系统构成的风险（英文版）

Photovoltaic-powered groundwater pumping offers a transformative solution for water services in underserved areas. However, without proper regulation, this technology could overexploit groundwater resources, threatening the groundwater-dependent ecos...

2024-10-14 209 1.47MB 14页
世界银行：意外需求冲击下的收益分配分析（英文版）

This paper exploits gaps between observed and recently forecasted Gross Domestic Product growth in export destinations to estimate the effects of unexpected demand shocks on worker compensation. Using employer-employee panel data, the paper finds tha...

2024-10-12 95 1.25MB 74页
FAO联合国粮农组织：减少粮食损失和浪费：政策和研究面临的五个挑战（英文版）

Despite broad agreement in policy circles on the need to reduce food loss and waste (FLW), considerable gaps in information still exist. This paper identifies policy-relevant information gaps, summarizes recent research that tries to fill these gaps ...

2024-10-12 270 452.91KB 9页
世界银行：乌桕：在家庭财富计量中考虑财产使用权（英文版）

This paper discusses the inclusion of usufruct rights in household wealth estimates, emphasizing the theoretical rationale for adjusting traditional estimates that do not include this component. It then applies this concept to the Italian context usi...

2024-10-12 118 993.22KB 19页
世界银行：小国的财政挑战：抵御风暴，重建韧性（英文版）

The COVID-19 pandemic and the global shocks that followed have worsened fiscal and debt positions in small states, intensifying their already substantial fiscal challenges— especially the need to manage more frequent climate change–related natural di...

2024-10-12 85 929.06KB 61页
世界银行：需要乡村选举：地方政府的更替和表现（英文版）

In many countries, local governments struggle with inefficiency and corruption, often perpetuated by entrenched elites. This paper explores how leadership changes affect bureaucratic performance at the local level by combining detailed personnel surv...

2024-10-12 98 1.75MB 70页
世界银行：企业官僚的财务溢价与实际成本（英文版）

This paper characterizes finance allocation distortions in capital markets across state-owned and private-owned enterprises. It does so by implementing Whited and Zhao’s (2021) methodology to infer idiosyncratic financial distortions on a novel firm-...

2024-10-12 107 826.66KB 50页
世界银行：燃料补贴改革：文献教训和通过安哥拉投入产出表评估不同部门的价格冲击（英文版）

Global oil prices have surged in recent decades, significantly hurting household living standards. In response to rising prices, many governments introduced fuel price subsidy to protect the most vulnerable populations. The literature is almost unani...

2024-10-12 81 792.14KB 21页
世界银行：生成型人工智能：增长的催化剂还是过早去专业化的先兆？（英文版）

This paper presents a multi-sector growth model to elucidate the general equilibrium effects of generative artificial intelligence on economic growth, structural transformation, and international production specialization. Using parameters from the l...

2024-10-12 108 2.93MB 62页

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